Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

The Boston Red Sox (53-44) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-41) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale of a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Red Sox have dropped the first 2 games of the series 4-1 Friday and 7-6 in 11 innings Saturday. Boston was up 4-3 before blowing the save in the bottom of the 9th. The Red Sox scored 2 in the 10th and gave up that lead as well before folding in the 11th. OF Tyler O’Neill hit 2 homers and drove in 4 Saturday.

INF/OF Kiké Hernández hit the game-tying homer in the 9th and the game-tying single in the 10th. The Dodgers needed 6 2/3 IP from their bullpen Saturday, and they have a starter that typically doesn’t go deep. So it could be an adventure Sunday night.

Red Sox at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. LHP James Paxton

Crawford (6-7, 3.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 112 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-0 home victory July 13 against Kansas City Royals
• Last 3 starts: 20 IP, 1 ER (0.45 ERA) 10 H, 1 BB, 15 K
• 1 career start vs. Dodgers: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-4 home loss Aug. 25, 2023

Paxton (7-2, 4.38 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 84 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 1 K in 4-3 win July 12 at Detroit Tigers
• Last 5 starts vs. BOS: 3-1, 5.47 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 24 2/3 IP

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Red Sox at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Red Sox at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The Red Sox are a great road team at 29-19, and they nearly came away with the win twice Saturday. Their pen isn’t in great shape either, but they have a big advantage with their starter, who has gone at least 6 IP in 7 straight starts.

Take the RED SOX +105 .

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Run line/Against the spread

I’m keying in on O’Neill here. “TON” is 5-for-9 with 2 homers and 4 RBIs in the series. He also kills left-handed pitching at .309 with 7 homers and 11 RBIs in 81 at-bats. The wind is blowing out tonight as well.

Take TYLER O’NEILL OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIs ( -125 ).

Over/Under

As mentioned, the wind is expected to blow out to center at 8 mph on an 84-degree evening. Paxton gives up a ton of walks and hits and has allowed 10 homers in 84 1/3 IP. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and I look for potent bats Sunday night.

Take the OVER 9 ( -105 ).

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