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  • Caitlin McKeague - Your Phoenix Real Estate Broker

    Phoenix Housing Market Opportunity | Tables Have Turned

    28 days ago
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    The current state of the Phoenix real estate market presents some unique opportunities for potential homebuyers. While the market hasn't officially shifted to a buyer's market, there are several factors now favoring buyers. In this article, we'll delve into recent developments, including cooling inflation, changes in mortgage rates, and key statistics that underscore the evolving market dynamics.

    Cooling Inflation Opens Door for Rate Cuts

    Inflation data from last week provided promising news for potential homebuyers. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed that inflation had cooled more than expected in June, opening a potential pathway for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. This development sent yields on the 10-year treasury tumbling, which typically signals a drop in mortgage rates.

    Jay Parsons, a real estate economist, noted that falling rents over the past year indicated a future decline in national inflation. Since rent prices account for about a third of the inflation measurement, their drop is significant for the overall inflation trend. As expected, mortgage rates dipped slightly, from 6.95% to 6.89%, according to Yahoo Finance. Although the change is modest, it's a positive sign for buyers considering the 7% rates seen earlier this year .

    Current Mortgage Rates and Buyer Opportunities

    According to Mortgage News Daily, mortgage rates experienced the second largest single-day drop this year following the latest inflation data, reinforcing the trend of potentially lower rates moving forward. This decrease in rates could provide a small window of opportunity for buyers to secure better mortgage deals .

    If you're in the market to buy, it's advisable to check in with your lender to explore your options. Even a slight dip in rates can ease your mortgage payments, making it a good time to negotiate deals and secure favorable terms.

    Home Sale Prices and Market Trends

    Despite the high mortgage rates over the past year, home sale prices have remained stubbornly high. Redfin reports that the median sale price hit a record high of $397,000 for the four weeks ending July 7th, a 4.7% increase year-over-year. This trend is mirrored in Phoenix, where home prices continue to rise despite slower sales and lower buyer demand .

    Interestingly, the market shows signs of softening, with a rise in seller concessions and price cuts. Approximately 52% of sales included seller concessions, with a median amount of $9,300. This indicates that sellers are becoming more willing to negotiate, providing buyers with additional leverage in their transactions .

    Phoenix Market Specifics

    In Phoenix, active listings have increased by 57% year-over-year, giving buyers more choices. While this might sound alarming, it's essential to remember that we're coming from historically low inventory levels. As of now, the market appears balanced, with both supply and demand below normal levels but closely aligned .

    Median days on the market for homes in Phoenix is currently 34 days, indicating that while homes are selling, they are taking longer to do so. This trend, combined with the rise in active listings, suggests a more competitive environment for sellers and more opportunities for buyers to negotiate better deals .

    Conclusion: A Balanced Market with Buyer Advantages

    Overall, the Phoenix real estate market presents a balanced scenario with distinct advantages for buyers. With cooling inflation, slight dips in mortgage rates, and more negotiable sellers, now might be a strategic time to buy. However, if inflation continues to trend downward and the Federal Reserve cuts rates, the market could heat up again, reducing buyer advantages as more competition emerges.

    For homeowners considering selling, it's crucial to ensure your property is well-presented and competitively priced to attract buyers in this balanced market. Buyers should keep an eye on properties that have been listed for more than the median days on the market, as these homes might offer better negotiation opportunities.

    If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to drop a comment or reach out directly. Stay tuned for our next market update to stay informed about the latest trends and opportunities in the Phoenix real estate market.

    References:

    1. Yahoo Finance. (2024). Cooling Inflation and Mortgage Rate Trends
    2. Mortgage News Daily. (2024). Impact of Inflation Data on Mortgage Rates
    3. Redfin. (2024). National Real Estate Trends and Statistics
    4. Cromford Report. (2024). Detailed Phoenix Market Analysis


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