2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from model that's nailed 13 majors

The FedEx Cup Playoffs tee off Thursday from TPC Southwind in Memphis for the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship. It's the first of three playoff tournaments and a chance to secure enough points to qualify for the following week's playoff as the field cuts from 70 golfers at the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship to 50 golfers the following week. Jordan Spieth, Viktor Hovland and Justin Rose are three of the bigger names in the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship field currently outside the top 50. Given their need for a standout performance to advance further into the playoffs, are they longshots to consider to win when making 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship bets?

Hovland is +3500 and Spieth is +5500 in the latest 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, so should you consider playing them to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2024? Scottie Scheffler is the +360 favorite after winning the gold medal in Paris, followed by Xander Schauffele (+750) and Rory McIlroy (+900). Before locking in your 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard .

Top 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship: McIlroy (9-1), a 26-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. McIlroy has racked up two wins and six top-10 finishes this season. He's also coming off a strong showing at the Olympics, securing a T-5 finish in Paris.

However, McIlroy missed the cut in his last start on the PGA Tour and he's struggled with accuracy this season. The four-time major champion enters the FedEx Cup Playoffs ranked 71st in driving accuracy (61.84%) and 90th in greens in regulation percentage (65.98%), which doesn't bode well for McIlroy's chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: Tommy Fleetwood, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Fleetwood has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Fleetwood won the silver at the Paris Olympics with four rounds under 70 and finishing at 18-under-par, just one shot behind Scheffler.

Fleetwood finished T-3 at last year's FedEx St. Jude Championship before finishing T-6 at the Tour Championship. He finished third in his first FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in 2019. He's ninth on the PGA Tour in total driving and eighth in driving accuracy this season and given his long odds, the model sees Fleetwood as a longshot to back this weekend. See who else to back here .

How to make 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected FedEx St. Jude Championship leaderboard , all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.

2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, top contenders

Get full 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here .

Scottie Scheffler +360
Xander Schauffele +750
Rory McIlroy +900
Collin Morikawa +1400
Ludvig Åberg +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Viktor Hovland +3500
Tom Kim +3500
Tony Finau +3500
Justin Thomas +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Russell Henley +4000
Billy Horschel +4500
Sungjae Im +4500
Sahith Theegala +4500
Aaron Rai +4500
Cameron Young +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Jordan Spieth +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Adam Scott +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Wyndham Clark +6000
Brian Harman +7000
Sepp Straka +7500
Byeong Hun An +7500
Max Homa +7500
Davis Thompson +8000
Jason Day +8000
Akshay Bhatia +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9000
Will Zalatoris +9000
Si Woo Kim +9000
Min Woo Lee +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Max Greyserman +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Maverick McNealy +11000
Harris English +12000
Ben Griffin +12000
Thomas Detry +12000
Cam Davis +12000
Eric Cole +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Nick Dunlap +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Justin Rose +15000
Victor Perez +17000
Taylor Moore +17000
Austin Eckroat +17000
J.T. Poston +17000
Stephan Jaeger +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Adam Hadwin +20000
Seamus Power +22000
Chris Kirk +22000
Patrick Rodgers +25000
Emiliano Grillo +27000
Brendon Todd +27000
Mark Hubbard +30000
Jake Knapp +30000
Nick Taylor +35000
Matthieu Pavon +40000
Peter Malnati +100000