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Fantasy football 2024 rankings, rookie QB picks: Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels predictions by top NFL model
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
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Having optimal 2024 Fantasy football rankings could make or break your drafts. That's especially true when evaluating 2024 Fantasy football rookie QBs. C.J. Stroud was one of the Fantasy football stars last year, while No. 1 overall pick, Bryce Young, ended up as one of the Fantasy football busts, barely racking up more points than fourth-rounder Aidan O'Connell. There were six QBs taken in the first round of this year's NFL Draft, and the latest 2024 Fantasy football ADP shows the wide range of opinions managers have on them. Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels have ADPs just outside the top 100, while Drake Maye and Michael Penix Jr. are often going undrafted.
With J.J. McCarthy (knee) out for the year, Bo Nix is favored to be the third rookie QB taken in Fantasy football 2024 drafts. Having the right infrastructure around a rookie QB is paramount, as Stroud and Young can vouch for, so where should every player be in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? If you're looking for 2024 Fantasy football advice, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs would carry significantly more value than expected during his rookie season. The result: Gibbs rushed for 945 yards and 10 touchdowns while also catching 52 passes for 316 yards and a score. Gibbs was coming off the board in the middle of the fourth round on average but finished as a top-10 running back in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football cheat sheets 2024 and draft advice, along with its top rookie Fantasy QB picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
2024 Caleb Williams Fantasy football projection
The model has locked in its 2024 Fantasy football prediction for Bears rookie quarterback Caleb Williams. The USC product has arguably the best supporting cast of any quarterback ever drafted first overall, with players like Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, Rome Odunze and D'Andre Swift on the roster. Williams offers some mobility to Chicago's offense, but his rushing numbers dipped in each of his collegiate seasons.
Most of his rushing yards are expected to come from scrambles on busted plays, putting Fantasy pressure on him to perform as a passer. It can be difficult to post huge Fantasy numbers at the quarterback position without a large chunk of rushing touchdowns, and rookie quarterbacks often struggle to meet expectations. However, the weapons surrounding Williams certainly make him worth considering in Fantasy football drafts. See the full Fantasy football QB rankings here.
2024 Jayden Daniels Fantasy football projection
The model has also released its projection for Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. The No. 2 overall pick rewrote the college football record books in his five years at Arizona State and LSU. He's the only player in FBS history with 12,000 passing and 3,000 rushing yards, set the FBS single-season passer rating record in 2023 and won the Heisman Trophy last year.
He had the luxury of being surrounded by first-round receivers with Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. at LSU, and prior to that having Brandon Aiyuk and Ricky Pearsall at ASU. Washington is bare at that position outside of Terry McLaurin, and the team adding Austin Ekeler to a backfield that includes Brian Robinson Jr. indicates that the Commanders will attempt to establish the run. Daniels has an offensive coordinator who is familiar with dual-threat quarterbacks, as Kliff Kingsbury previously coached the likes of Caleb Williams, Kyler Murray, and Patrick Mahomes. See where every quarterback lands in the rankings here .
2024 Drake Maye Fantasy football projection
The model has also released its ranking for Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye. The 21-year-old finished his college career with 62 passing touchdowns and 16 interceptions at North Carolina, which led to New England selecting him with the third pick in the draft. Maye also led the Tar Heels in rushing yards during his sophomore season (2022), and he averaged nearly 56 rushing yards per game across his two years as the starter.
Unlike Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels, Maye is not a lock to be New England's starter this season. He is competing with veteran Jacoby Brissett for the starting job, while Bailey Zappe and Joe Milton III are also options on the depth chart. Maye's competition for the starting position certainly plays a role in where he sits in the model's Fantasy football quarterback rankings. See full Fantasy football QB tiers here .
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings, advice
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