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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts from model that nailed Deebo Samuel's weak year
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
USATSI
There could be a changing of the guard when it comes to Fantasy football tight ends, as Chiefs star Travis Kelce is coming off his worst year since 2015. Detroit's Sam LaPorta and Arizona's Trey McBride were Fantasy football breakouts and could be poised to take over the top spot in the 2024 Fantasy football TE rankings. LaPorta caught 86 passes for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns playing in one of the league's best offenses. The Lions should have plenty of trips to the red zone again this season, so where does LaPorta fall in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? Kelce finished with nearly 1,000 receiving yards and five touchdowns last year, so positive touchdown regression could re-establish him as the clear No. 1 tight end in Fantasy football 2024.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Eagles running back Kenneth Gainwell. Saquon Barkley will be the starter in Philadelphia's offense to open the season, but Gainwell should play a key role as well. He tallied a career-high 84 carries for 364 yards while catching 30 passes for 183 yards last season.
Gainwell played 41% of the offensive snaps despite sitting behind D'Andre Swift on the Eagles depth chart. He can finish as a sleeper without a high usage rate this year and has plenty of upside if Barkley is unable to stay healthy. SportsLine's model ranks Gainwell ahead of running backs like Jaylen Wright, Zach Charbonnet and Khalil Herbert, who are all going off the board before him. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey. Los Angeles lost three of its top five receiving leaders from last year's team in the offseason, including veteran Keenan Allen, who led the team with 1,243 receiving yards. The biggest addition the team made to replace those targets was McConkey, a second-round draft pick from Georgia.
He has a prime opportunity following the overhaul, as he could quickly emerge as one of Justin Herbert's top targets. McConkey is a quick wideout who can create separation with his elite route-running package, which is exactly what the Chargers need to replace 320 targets from last season. SportsLine's model has McConkey ranked ahead of wide receivers like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Keon Coleman and Xavier Worthy, identifying him as a Fantasy breakout. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Chargers running back Gus Edwards as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Edwards finished as the RB32 in Fantasy last season, but he scored the fourth-most touchdowns in the league. He will struggle to match his production from last season if he suffers regression, especially since all of his value comes from rushing.
Edwards commanded just a 2.8% target share last season and is facing rushing competition from J.K. Dobbins and Kimani Vidal. While Edwards might be the lead back on the Chargers depth chart, it could be a committee approach from new head coach Jim Harbaugh. Edwards would need to be efficient with his expected touches in order to match his 2024 Fantasy football ADP, as SportsLine's model has him ranked behind running backs like Tyjae Spears and Rico Dowdle. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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