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Eagles vs. Packers prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL in Brazil picks by model on 181-129 run
By CBS Sports Staff,
3 days ago
USATSI
With the NFL's popularity growing in South America, the league will make its first trip to the neighboring continent for the first-ever NFL in Brazil game on Friday. The Week 1 matchup will pit the Philadelphia Eagles against the Green Bay Packers in a battle between teams that made the playoffs last season. These two teams last met in 2022, when the Eagles notched a 40-33 win in late November before winning the NFC, but the Packers have covered the spread in six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Despite struggling offensively late in the season, Philadelphia's primary issue was defensive in 2023. The Eagles ranked 30th in the NFL in scoring defense, 26th in total defense and 31st in pass defense. That's why they invested first and second-round picks in the secondary, drafting Quinyon MItchell with their top pick and then selecting Cooper DeJean in the second round.
They also signed C.J. Gardner-Johnson and Avonte Maddox in free agency and will welcome Darius Slay Jr. back healthy this season, which should lead to a new feel in the back half. On the other side of the ball, the Eagles Saquon Barkely to revitalize the rushing attack and then recently pulled off a trade for Jahan Dotson to improve wide receiver depth behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. See who to back at SportsLine .
Why the Packers can cover
After a Week 10 loss to the Steelers that left the Packers at 3-6, there were some serious questions around Green Bay about whether or not the organization had made the right decision in transitioning from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love at quarterback. However, Love erupted in the second half of the season, completing 70.3% of his passes for 2,150 yards and 20 touchdowns with only one interception over the final eight games.
That performance earned him a four-year, $220 million contract extension this offseason and with Christian Watson finally healthy again, Love has a deep wide receivers' room to work with. Watson, Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks have all shown the ability to produce when called upon and Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft also give Love a pair of capable tight ends to work with. That group of pass-catchers will look to challenge a Philadelphia defense that ranked 31st against the pass in 2023. See who to back at SportsLine .
How to make Eagles vs. Packers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks .
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