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Eagles vs. Packers prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL in Brazil picks from model on 181-129 run
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
USATSI
Week 1 of the 2024 NFL schedule will continue on Friday, September 6 with the first-ever NFL in Brazil game, featuring the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Green Bay Packers in a battle between playoff teams from last season. This will be the 47th all-time meeting in the series and the first internationally, with Green Bay winning and covering the spread in six of its last 10 head-to-head matchups with Philadelphia. However, the Eagles have covered in two of their last three bouts with the Packers, including a 40-33 win in Nov. 2022.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Despite struggling offensively late in the season, Philadelphia's primary issue was defensive in 2023. The Eagles ranked 30th in the NFL in scoring defense, 26th in total defense and 31st in pass defense. That's why they invested first and second-round picks in the secondary, drafting Quinyon MItchell with their top pick and then selecting Cooper DeJean in the second round.
They also signed C.J. Gardner-Johnson and Avonte Maddox in free agency and will welcome Darius Slay Jr. back healthy this season, which should lead to a new feel in the back half. On the other side of the ball, the Eagles Saquon Barkely to revitalize the rushing attack and then recently pulled off a trade for Jahan Dotson to improve wide receiver depth behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. See who to back at SportsLine .
Why the Packers can cover
Quarterback Jordan Love answered any questions about whether he was fit to be the starter last season, leading Green Bay to a 6-2 finish and a playoff victory. The Packers are ahead of schedule entering their second season without quarterback Aaron Rodgers, notching notable wins over the Lions, Chiefs, Chargers and Cowboys last season. They have a balanced wide receiver room that features Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed, making them a difficult offense to prepare for.
The Eagles gave up the second-most passing touchdowns in the NFL last season, and they have an aging secondary. Additionally, Green Bay's rushing attack should improve this season following the addition of running back Josh Jacobs, who is playing behind an offensive line that features some new talent. Jacobs rushed for 1,653 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2022, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. See who to back at SportsLine .
How to make Eagles vs. Packers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks .
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