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Fantasy football rankings 2024: Sleepers, busts, breakouts from model that nailed Deebo Samuel's weak NFL year
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
USATSI
Veteran running backs changing teams is one of the major storylines having a key impact on 2024 Fantasy football rankings, with stars like Derrick Henry (Ravens), Josh Jacobs (Packers) and Saquon Barkley (Eagles) on new teams. How should these new locations affect how you view them when forming a 2024 Fantasy football strategy? These are veteran running backs with name appeal, but who are younger players ready to emerge as 2024 Fantasy football breakouts? Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 733 yards and had 1,101 total yards with nine total touchdowns last year in his second season with the Commanders, so is he someone ready to be a key contributor in the 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings? Washington signed Austin Ekeler, who has been a stud in the past, so how should you view that backfield when forming a 2024 Fantasy football strategy?
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson. The 26-year-old had 857 total yards in 12 games last season, averaging 71.4 yards per game. In a full season the year before, Stevenson had 1,461 total yards, which was 11th among NFL running backs. There's not much to love for Fantasy football value in the Patriots offense this season, but Stevenson's expected high workload and production over the last two seasons is one of them.
Stevenson has averaged 3.7 receptions per game over the last two seasons and with Jacoby Brissett and Drake Maye both expected to see some time at quarterback this season, there could be a significant amount of dump-off passes to the running backs. Stevenson is the clear RB1 in New England without top wide receivers or tight ends on the roster, Stevenson's workload alone could make him a 2024 Fantasy football sleeper. The model has him ranked inside the top 20 running backs in Fantasy football and he's going outside the top 20 in 2024 Fantasy football drafts, providing value based on ADP. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Bengals running back Chase Brown. A fifth-round pick out of Illinois in 2023, Brown was used lightly during his rookie season but showed flashes when called upon. He produced 335 scrimmage yards and a touchdown on 58 touches despite the fact that he only played eight offensive snaps over the first 10 games of the season.
Joe Mixon departed this offseason and Zack Moss now enters the fray, but it's been made clear by the Cincinnati coaching staff that Brown will have a more substantial role in the offense in 2024. He could even overtake Moss at some point this season and that's a big reason why the model ranks him ahead of Devin Singletary and Nick Chubb, who are being drafted a round earlier on average. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Packers receiver Christian Watson as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. The North Dakota State product has had stretches where he's looked like a bonafide No. 1 receiver for the Packers, but he missed three games as a rookie and then eight more games in 2023 and those injuries have kept him from reaching his full potential.
He's apparently worked on a muscle mass disparity between his two legs that they believe was responsible for his hamstring injuries but he'll still have a crowded Green Bay wide receivers' room to contend with. Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks have all proven to be productive when called upon and the model sees those challenges for targets as an issue too. That's why it ranks Watson behind Diontae Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins even though they're being drafted nearly 20 picks later on average. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
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