Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from proven NFL model that predicted Jaylen Waddle's poor season

Several big-name NFL players changed teams during the offseason, which could have a major impact on where they fall in the 2024 fantasy football rankings. Pro Bowlers Kirk Cousins, Saquon Barkley, Keenan Allen, Derrick Henry, and Austin Ekeler have all been big-time fantasy producers in the past, but each of them will play for new franchises in 2024. How well each player adjusts to playing in a new and unfamiliar offensive system could have a significant impact on most 2024 fantasy football projections. Should any of them be included in your 2024 fantasy football rankings or should you target younger, unproven players who have the potential to be one of this year's 2024 fantasy football breakout players? As you finalize your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson. The former Florida standout was the No. 4 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, and his raw physical ability is undeniably rare. He was only able to play in four games as a rookie due to injuries, but he made his presence felt, throwing for 577 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, and rushing for 136 yards and four touchdowns.

Due to his dual-threat ability, Richardson is generating a lot of preseason fantasy buzz. He is currently going off the board early in the sixth round on average in CBS Sports fantasy drafts. This puts him ahead of guys like Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Jared Goff, and Brock Purdy. While he may prove to be a high-end fantasy quarterback, SportsLine's model lists Richardson among the top bust candidates in 2024.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. He averaged 264.3 passing yards and 16.9 Fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the QB14 in Fantasy. His owners relied heavily on his yards per attempt (ninth), as he was outside the top 20 in adjusted completion rate and Fantasy points per dropback.

Stafford is entering his age-36 season and has been interception-prone, so he has a shaky outlook compared to other quarterbacks going off the board at a similar ADP. He also offers zero rushing upside, which is an increasingly important factor in Fantasy football. The model has him ranked outside the top 20 at his position, suggesting that you should look elsewhere for your Fantasy quarterback. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.