Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from top-tier NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's down season

Managers everywhere have to think carefully about whether they should draft Justin Herbert with their 2024 Fantasy football picks. Herbert was one of the Fantasy football busts last season, finishing QB12 in most leagues as the Chargers' offense struggled all season long. There is hope that Herbert will have a bounce-back season now that Jim Harbaugh has taken over as L.A.'s head coach. However, Harbaugh is also known to employ a run-heavy offense, so Herbert's 2024 Fantasy football projections could be low yet again this season.

Herbert averaged just 17.7 fantasy points per game over the last two seasons compared to 23.1 fantasy points per game over the 2020 and 2021 seasons. Is he worth being part of your 2024 Fantasy football strategy, or will he be a bust yet again this season? As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins. It's easy to point to Joe Burrow's injury and Jake Browning's struggles for the downturn Higgin's production took last season. However, his Fantasy football output was already declining, which suggests 2024 will be another lukewarm campaign.

Higgins finished 2023 with 42 receptions for 656 yards and five touchdowns, recording a career-low 11.5 fantasy points per game on the season. Since that number has dipped steadily over the last couple of seasons, he leaves a lot to be desired at his current ADP. Even if Burrow plays a full season healthy, there are other options at receiver that can eclipse Higgins' output.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud. The No. 2 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft took the league by surprise last season, leading the Texans to the postseason and winning AP Offensive Rookie of the Year honors by throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns with five interceptions in 15 games.

However, Houston had the benefit of playing a last-place schedule and now the Texans have a much tougher path after going worst-to-first. Stroud has a 2024 Fantasy football ADP of 57.0, but the model is expecting a bit of a letdown in 2024. It predicts that you can get better value out of quarterbacks like Brock Purdy and Dak Prescott, who are both going at least 25 picks later on average. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023 , and find out.