The Detroit Tigers (41-48) and Cincinnati Reds (42-47) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Detroit leads 2-0
Detroit picked up the 5-3 win over Cincinnati Saturday while covering as a +144 road underdog. The Tigers scored all 5 of their runs in the 9th after being down 2-0. Detroit has won back-to-back games after winning 5-4 in Friday’s series opener.
Reds SP Hunter Greene pitched 7 scoreless innings (3 H, 2 BB, 7 K). Reliever Fernando Cruz pitched for only 1/3 of an inning, but allowed 3 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and took the loss.
Tigers at Reds projected starters
LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft
Skubal (9-3, 2.45 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 103 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 loss at Minnesota Twins Tuesday
- First career start vs. Cincinnati
Ashcraft (5-4, 5.45 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 win at New York Yankees Tuesday
- First career start vs. Detroit
Who’s going yard ? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Tigers at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML) : Tigers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Tigers -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Tigers at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 4, Reds 3
LEAN DETROIT (-140) .
The Tigers are 3-1 in their last 4 road games while the Reds have dropped each of their last 4 home games. Detroit has also won 3 straight vs. Cincinnati and is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.
This is only a lean because despite 2 wins in this series, Detroit is only 4-6 in its last 10 while the Reds are 6-4 across that same span.
BET REDS +1.5 (-150) .
Cincinnati is 49-40 ATS this season and 27-19 ATS when following a loss this year. Detroit is 40-49 ATS on the year and 15-26 ATS at home.
Cincinnati is also the slightly better team to me, so I expect them to put up a hard fight before conceding its 4th consecutive loss to the Tigers.
PASS .
The Over is only 4-5-1 in Cincinnati’s last 10 games and 5-4-1 in Detroit’s last 10 overall. The Under 9 hit Saturday after the teams pushed on the O/U of 9 in the opener. With the Over/Under being so even for both teams in recent matchups, stick to the moneyline and run line.
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