Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (47-53) and Atlanta Braves (54-44) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won 5-1 last year

The Reds lost 5-2 against the Washington Nationals Sunday as +100 road underdogs. Reds 3B Noelvi Marte and CF Stuart Fairchild each hit solo shots for Cincinnati, which has lost 4 straight.

The Braves have lost back-to-back games after falling 6-2 against the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday as -137 home favorites. CF Jarred Kelenic hit a solo home run, while RHP Spencer Schwellenbach allowed 4 ER in 6 innings to pick up the loss.

Reds at Braves projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Greene (6-4, 3.34 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 110 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 8-1 home victory against Colorado Rockies July 11
• Career vs. Braves: 1-0, 4.91 ERA (11 IP, 6 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 13.9 K/9 in 2 starts, including 0-0 with 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year

Lopez (7-3, 1.88 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 95 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 4-0 loss at San Diego Padres July 13
• Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 1.00 ERA (9 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4 appearances (1 start), including 0-0 with 0.00 ERA (3 IP) in 3 relief appearances last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Reds at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Braves 3

BET REDS (+125).

Cincinnati has scored 4 runs in 2 of its last 3 games and 5 runs in 6 of its last 10. While it has struggled coming out of the All-Star break, it faces a Braves team that has played 3 games in the last 2 days and scored 3 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 3.

In what should be a pitchers’ duel between 2 All-Stars, the fresher legs of the Reds should provide them with an advantage to steal a game on the road.

PASS.

There is better value on the moneyline for the Reds.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

Greene and Lopez both have a phenomenal ability to limit scoring and keep runners off the base path. The Reds have scored 4 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games, while the Braves have scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. Expect a low-scoring game Monday.

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