Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

The Detroit Tigers (50-53) and Cleveland Guardians (61-40) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

The Tigers were tripped up 2-1 Wednesday, their 2nd consecutive 1-run loss after winning the series opener Monday by an 8-2 count. Detroit has outscored Cleveland 53-37 in the 10-game series to date, despite the fact each team has won 5 times apiece.

The Guardians have picked up consecutive wins for the first time since July 6-7. Cleveland is aiming for a 3rd straight victory, which hasn’t happened since a 7-game win streak June 19-25.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games for the Guardians, although the Over is 2-1 in the first 3 games of this series and 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. Meanwhile, the Tigers have hit the Over at a 5-1 pace in the past 6 games while going 9-3 across the past 12 contests.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Gavin Williams

The Tigers haven’t named a starting pitcher at the time of publishing.

Williams (0-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 18 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-0 home setback vs. San Diego Padres Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 0-2, 9.39 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.22 WHIP, .361 opponents’ batting average, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
• 2024 vs. Tigers: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 1-0 road loss July 8
• Career vs. Tigers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:19 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-154) | Guardians -1.5 (+128)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 3

The Guardians (-178) are a little too expensive for this matinee affair Thursday. Cleveland has won the past 2 games, but only by a single run. It’s been a nail-biter for each of the past 2 outings, and the Guardians lost badly in the series opener.

PASS.

The TIGERS +1.5 (-154) is a solid play while moderately priced for a run-line underdog.

While Detroit has been on the losing end each of the past 2 games, it has suffered a pair of 1-run losses while covering on the run line.

The Guardians -1.5 (+128) are just 1-8 in the past 9 games on the run line as favorites.

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look. The teams combined for just 3 runs Wednesday night. The total has ended up going low at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 outings.

Go lightly, however, as the Over is 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 outings for the Guardians, too.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips

SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:

Subscribe now to dominate the competition.