Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

The Detroit Tigers (47-50) and Toronto Blue Jays (44-52) open a 3-game set at Rogers Centre Friday. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 3-1

The Tigers, who are 23-26 on the road this season, beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 Sunday as the Under (9) hit in their last game prior to the All-Star break. Detroit won 2 of 3 games in that series and is 4-1 over its last 5. The Tigers have played well over the last 2 weeks, posting an 8-2 record in their last 10 games. Detroit is 47-50 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Blue Jays avoided a 3-game sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks, winning 8-7 in the Sunday finale as the Over (7.5) cashed. Toronto has won 5 of its last 8 games yet is still just 6-8 over its last 14. It is 21-24 straight up at home, having lost 4 of its last 5 at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are 47-49 ATS on the season.

Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Flaherty (6-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 95 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-1 home victory over Cleveland Guardians July 11
• 2024 away splits: 4-2, 2.81 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 7 HR, 11.2 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-1, 2.08 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 3 starts, including 0-1 with 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start this year

Bassitt (8-7, 3.52 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 10-6 road victory over San Francisco Giants July 10
• 2024 home splits: 5-4, 3.83 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.51 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.6 K/9 in 10 starts
• Career vs. Tigers: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 9 starts, including 0-1 with 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last season

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Tigers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:19 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Blue Jays -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread : Tigers -1.5 (+160) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-194)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET TIGERS ( -102 ).

The Tigers are 4-1 in Flaherty’s 5 outings since the start of June. Their offense is also scorching hot, scoring double-digit runs in 2 of their last 4 games and at least 5 in 4 of their last 6.

Detroit has won 8 of its last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 2-5 in Bassitt’s last 7 starts. They are 2-5 in their last 7 home games as well. Considering those trends, back TIGERS ( -102 ).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS .

The Tigers are too risky as run-line favorites here, while the Blue Jays are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Avoid any play here, and look to the moneyline for the team-specific value.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 ( -112 ).

The Blue Jays, who are 48-46-2 O/U on the season, have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Toronto has gone over the projected total in 5 straight games and is 7-1 O/U in its last 8.

The Tigers have also gone Over consistently as of late. They are 4-2 O/U in their last 6 games and 52-42-3 O/U on the season. Detroit has allowed at least 4 runs in 4 of its last 6 games as well.

With that in mind, back OVER 7.5 ( -112 ).

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