Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

The Detroit Tigers (52-54) welcome the Minnesota Twins (57-46) to Comerica Park Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 6-6

Minnesota lost 7-2 Saturday after opening the series with a 9-3 win Friday. The Twins have won 3 of their last 5 games, yet only 3 of their last 8. Minnesota is 4-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 and is 48-54 ATS on the season. The Twins are 28-25 straight up and 28-25 ATS on the road.

The Tigers, who are 25-25 straight up and 22-28 ATS at home this season, have won 2 of their last 5 games. They are 7-4 over their last 11 and have won 3 of their last 4 at home. Detroit has exceeded expectations against divisional opponents, having won 19 of 35 games against AL Central foes.

Twins at Tigers projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. Undecided

Ober (9-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 107 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-2 home win over the Philadelphia Phillies Monday
• 2024 away splits: 4-4, 4.67 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.05 WHIP,92 HR, 8.9 K/9 in 11 starts
• Career vs. Tigers: 3-2, 3.91 ERA (53 IP, 23 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 10 starts

Tigers starting pitcher has yet to be announced, but RHP Alex Faedo (5-1, 3.47 ERA) may get the nod.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Twins -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Tigers +148 (bet $100 to win $148)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-114)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Twins at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 4

PASS.

Ober is a strong starting option, and the Twins should be able to get the win behind their talented starter. However, they are too expensive (-176) to take on the moneyline, and the better route is to play the Tigers (+148) on the spread.

Avoid a moneyline play.

BET TIGERS +1.5 (-114).

Despite Ober’s strength over the last month, the Twins offense has been too unreliable. In games Ober has started, the Twins are 10-9 and have won 2 of those by 1 run. The Twins are 5-7 over their last 12 games, but the better point is that they’ve scored 4 or fewer in 8 of those 12.

They don’t have the stability offensively to assume they can cover as a road favorite. Detroit has the 5th-best covering rate as a home underdog at 12-6 ATS as well. Considering those trends, take TIGERS +1.5 (-114).

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Tigers have been an Over-hitting machine this season and are 58-44-3 O/U. They have gone Over in 7 of their last 9 games and have tallied at least 4 runs in 8 of their last 11 games.

The Twins have scored at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 6 games and are 6-1 O/U in their last 7. Minnesota is 52-48-2 O/U this season. The Twins are 2-1 O/U throughout Ober’s last 3 starts and 3-2 O/U in his last 5.

Take OVER 8 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips

SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:

Subscribe now to dominate the competition.