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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions
By Nathan Beighle,
5 hours ago
The Detroit Tigers (52-55) welcome the Cleveland Guardians (63-42) to Comerica Park for the opener of a 2-game series Monday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigersodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 6-5
The Guardians won 4-3 at the Philadelphia Phillies, winning 2 of 3 — both as underdogs — in the weekend series. Prior to the Philly trip, Cleveland hosted Detroit and split 4 games with both wins coming by 1 run. Cleveland is 30-27 on the road this season, including 3-5 in its last 8 away games. The Guardians are 52-53 against the spread (ATS) for the season.
The Tigers lost to the Minnesota Twins 5-0 Sunday, failing to cover as +129 home underdogs. They dropped 2 of 3 to the Twins and are 2-4 over their last 6 games. The Tigers are 25-26 at home this season but 5-3 over their last 8 at Comerica Park. Detroit is 55-52 ATS on the season.
Guardians at Tigers projected starters
RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Bibee (8-4, 3.50 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 115 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win vs. Tigers Wednesday
2024 away splits: 4-2, 3.00 ERA (57 IP, 19 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8 HR, 10.1 K/9 in 10 starts
Career vs. Tigers: 0-3, 5.84 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts
2024 vs. Tigers: 0-1, 5.06 ERA (16 IP, 9 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 3 starts
Flaherty (7-5, 2.95 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 106 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER (1R), 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 loss at Guardians Wednesday
2024 home splits: 2-3, 3.50 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 7 HR, 11.3 K/9 in 7 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 1-2, 2.38 ERA (34 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
2024 vs. Guardians: 1-1, 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Guardians -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+152) | Tigers +1.5 (-184)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: -102)
Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 4, Guardians 2
BET TIGERS (-102).
The Tigers have thrived with Flaherty on the mound. They have won 6 of his last 8 starts. The right-hander only allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 7 of those 8 outings as well. Plus, Detroit has won the game following a loss in 2 straight.
The Guardians have been among the best home teams in the MLB but have struggled on the road, especially as of late. The offense is mostly to blame as Cleveland has been shut out twice in its last 4 games.
Considering the trends, TAKE TIGERS (-102).
PASS.
Detroit +1.5 (-184) is too expensive to bet on the RL, and Cleveland -1.5 (+152) is too risky as a RL favorite, considering its recent woes at the plate. Ultimately, AVOID a RL wager.
BET UNDER 7 (-102).
The Guardians have gone Under in 5 straight games and are 2-11 O/U in their last 13. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 straight and have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. Cleveland is 49-50-6 O/U on the season, per Teamrankings.com.
The Tigers have gone Under in 3 of their last 5 and have scored 14 runs in their last 5 games. Additionally, they are 2-3 O/U in Flaherty’s last 5 starts. TAKE UNDER 7 (-102).
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