The Jacksonville Jaguars drafted Brian Thomas Jr. with the 19th overall pick in the first round of the NFL Draft. “BTJ” broke out in terms of production, being a huge part of a prolific 2023 LSU offense. He compiled 68 receptions for 1177 yards (17.3 yards per reception) and 17 touchdowns compared to his first two seasons with 59 receptions for 720 yards (12.2 yards per reception) and 7 touchdowns.
Brian Kelly figured out a way to unlock him. Can Doug Pederson replicate it? There are at least 120 targets to replace in this offense with Trevor Lawrence (who has yet to reach his ceiling) due to Calvin Ridley leaving the offense.
The biggest issue for BTJ and this offense is who will call the plays; if it is Press Taylor buyers, beware of this team and its fantasy pieces. If it is Doug Pederson, the creativity and correct usage of the offense can support multiple good fantasy options.
Thomas has elite size and speed, but there are a lot of mouths to feed in Jacksonville with Kirk, Gabe Davis, Engram, and Etienne. There is a massive fantasy upside with BTJ if he comes in and creates a connection with Lawrence.
Thomas Jr.'s best ability will be the deep ball, and Lawrence and the Jags tried to stretch the field a good amount last year with Ridley. Don’t be surprised by a slow start and finding him on waivers in the middle of the season. After a disappointing opening, try to buy low as a dynasty manager.
Our consensus projections for BTJ in the 2024 season are 61 receptions, 821 yards, and 6 touchdowns.
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