Get updates delivered to you daily. Free and customizable.
CBS Sports
2024 PGA Championship odds, predictions, golf picks: Tiger Woods projection by model that called the Masters
By CBS Sports Staff,
2024-05-15
Getty Images
Tiger Woods will return to the scene of one of his many major victories when the 2024 PGA Championship gets underway at Valhalla Golf Club on Thursday. This marks the fourth time the course in Louisville, Kentucky will host a major event. Woods won the PGA Championship there in 2000 as a 24-year-old. Now a 48-year-old veteran, Woods is a 125-1 long shot in the 2024 PGA Championship odds to repeat that success. Should you back Woods to pull off a miraculous PGA Championship 2024 victory? World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 3-1 favorite in the 2024 PGA Championship field, while Rory McIlroy is 6-1 following back-to-back victories at the Zurich Classic and Wells Fargo Championship.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.
The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
One major surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2020 PGA Championship winner is finding his form in 2024 just in time to compete at Valhalla. He has three top-three finishes on the season, including a third-place at the Masters followed by a solo ninth at the RBC Heritage, which sets him up for the tough competition he will face at the PGA Championship 2024.
The 27-year-old's superior driving should help him navigate the tough terrain at Valhalla, as he ranks second across the PGA Tour in driving accuracy (78.77%). Additionally, Morikawa is 17th in putting average (1.720), 15th in putts per round (28.09) and 12th in one-putt percentage (43.97%). His past experience and current form make it easy to see why the model is high on him to finish strong at the 2024 PGA Championship.
The model has also examined where Tiger Woods finishes. The 48-year-old is playing a limited schedule at this stage of his career, primarily playing in the major tournaments. He set a Masters record with his 24th consecutive made cut in April, breaking a tie with Fred Couples and Gary Player.
However, Woods finished last among golfers who made the cut, with his 16-over 304 being the worst 72-hole total of his career. He won the 2000 PGA Championship at Valhalla, but he missed the cut after battling a back injury when the event returned in 2014. The 82-time PGA Tour winner can never be overlooked when he steps on the course, regardless of his current form or health issues. The model just locked in its Tiger Woods PGA Championship picks here. .
How to make 2024 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .
Scottie Scheffler +300 Rory McIlroy +600 Brooks Koepka +1000 Xander Schauffele +1200 Ludvig Aberg +1200 Jon Rahm +1400 Joaquin Niemann +2500 Collin Morikawa +2500 Bryson DeChambeau +2500 Wyndham Clark +2500 Patrick Cantlay +2800 Cameron Smith +3300 Max Homa +3300 Viktor Hovland +3500 Hideki Matsuyama +3500 Will Zalatoris +4000 Justin Thomas +4000 Tommy Fleetwood +4500 Dustin Johnson +4500 Cameron Young +5000 Jason Day +5000 Matt Fitzpatrick +5000 Tyrrell Hatton +5000 Jordan Spieth +5500 Tony Finau +5500 Patrick Reed +6000 Byeong Hun An +6000 Sam Burns +6000 Shane Lowry +6000 Tom Kim +6000 Sungjae Im +6500 Dean Burmester +6500 Sahith Theegala +6500 Abraham Ancer +7000 Min Woo Lee +7500 Brian Harman +7500 Talor Gooch +8000 Keegan Bradley +8500 Akshay Bhatia +8500 Russell Henley +8500 Adam Scott +8500 Sepp Straka +8500 Si Woo Kim +9000 Tiger Woods +12500 David Puig +12500 Corey Conners +12500 Rickie Fowler +12500 Stephan Jaeger +12500 Denny McCarthy +12500 Phil Mickelson +12500 Jake Knapp +12500 Chris Kirk +12500 Billy Horschel +12500 Sergio Garcia +12500 Taylor Pendrith +12500 Adrian Meronk +12500 Austin Eckroat +15000 Mackenzie Hughes +15000 Alex Noren +15000 Harris English +15000 Matthieu Pavon +15000 Ryan Fox +15000 Adrian Otaegui +15000 Justin Rose +17500 Adam Schenk +17500 Keith Mitchell +17500 Mito Pereira +17500 Kurt Kitayama +17500 Daniel Berger +17500 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +17500 Emiliano Grillo +17500 Lucas Herbert +17500 Tom Hoge +17500 Victor Perez +17500 Erik Van Rooyen +17500 Lucas Glover +17500 Nicolai Hojgaard +20000 Eric Cole +20000 Jordan Smith +20000 Thomas Pieters +20000 J.T. Poston +20000 Thomas Detry +22500 Ryan Van Velzen +22500 Cam Davis +22500 Thriston Lawrence +22500 Beau Hossler +22500 Aaron Rai +22500 Ben Griffin +22500 Nick Taylor +22500 Alex Smalley +22500 Brendon Todd +25000 Maverick McNealy +25000 Luke List +25000 Nick Dunlap +25000 Davis Riley +25000 Adam Hadwin +25000 Marc Leishman +25000 Seamus Power +25000 Ryo Hisatsune +27500 Matt Wallace +27500 Andrew Putnam +27500 Andy Ogletree +27500 Patrick Rodgers +30000 Doug Ghim +30000 Taylor Moore +30000 Sebastian Soderberg +30000 Adam Svensson +30000 Rasmus Hojgaard +30000 Robert MacIntyre +30000 Gary Woodland +30000 Lee Hodges +30000 Ben Kohles +30000 K.H. Lee +30000 Camillo Villegas +35000 Alejandro Tosti +35000 Taylor Montgomery +35000 Vincent Norrman +35000 Jesper Svensson +35000 Tim Widing +35000 Charley Hoffman +40000 Mark Hubbard +40000 Keita Nakajima +40000 Zac Blair +50000 Francisco Molinari +50000 Joel Dahmen +50000 Peter Malnati +50000 Sami Valimaki +50000 Takumi Kanaya +50000 Grayson Murray +50000 Alexander Bjork +50000 Martin Kaymer +75000 Kazuma Kobori +75000 Brice Garnett +75000 Michael Block +75000 Padraig Harrington +75000 Luke Donald +75000 Jimmy Walker +75000 Y.E. Yang +100000 Jason Dufner +100000 John Daly +150000 Wyatt Worthington IV +150000 Tyler Collet +200000 Matt Dobyns +200000 Josh Speight +200000 Braden Shattuk +200000 Brad Marek +200000 Tracy Phillips +200000 Evan Bowser +200000 Josh Bevell +200000 Larkin Gross +200000 Rich Beem +200000 Zac Oakley +200000 Jeremy Wells +200000 Preston Cole +200000 John Somers +200000 Ben Polland +200000 Kyle Mendoza +200000 Jared Jones +200000 Shaun Micheel +200000 Jeff Kellen +200000 Jesse Mueller +200000 Andy Svoboda +200000
Get updates delivered to you daily. Free and customizable.
Welcome to NewsBreak, an open platform where diverse perspectives converge. Most of our content comes from established publications and journalists, as well as from our extensive network of tens of thousands of creators who contribute to our platform. We empower individuals to share insightful viewpoints through short posts and comments. It’s essential to note our commitment to transparency: our Terms of Use acknowledge that our services may not always be error-free, and our Community Standards emphasize our discretion in enforcing policies. We strive to foster a dynamic environment for free expression and robust discourse through safety guardrails of human and AI moderation. Join us in shaping the news narrative together.
Comments / 0