Mexico vs. Ecuador prediction, odds, line, start time: 2024 Copa America picks, June 30 bets by soccer expert

The group stage of the 2024 Copa America Tournament continues as Mexico and Ecuador match up on Sunday. This Group B contest will go down at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. Mexico split their first two games but are coming off a 1-0 loss to Venezuela. Ecuador also went 1-1 in their two tournament matchups. On June 26, Ecuador defeated Jamaica 3-1.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. Ecuador are +165 favorites (risk $165 to win $100) in the latest Mexico vs. Ecuador odds, while Mexico are +180 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +210 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Ecuador vs. Mexico picks, you need to check out what SportsLine soccer expert Brandt Sutton has to say .

Sutton is a former collegiate soccer player and has been SportsLine's top soccer editor since 2017. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most informed decisions possible.

Sutton finished the 2022-23 Champions League season with a 16-7 record (+8.93 units) on SportsLine's UCL pick sheet and is 25-20-2 (+3.20) in 2023-24. He also finished 2022 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark, returning nearly $2,200 for $100 players and is 139-136-5 since the 2022 World Cup.

Now, Sutton has taken a close look at the Mexico vs. Ecuador match and locked in his 2024 Copa America picks. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks . Here are the betting lines and trends for Ecuador vs. Mexico:

• Mexico vs. Ecuador money line: Ecuador +165, Mexico +180, Draw +210
• Mexico vs. Ecuador over/under: 2.5 goals
• Mexico vs. Ecuador spread: Ecuador -0.5 (+160)
• MEX: Mexico are seventh in the Copa America in goal differential
• ECU: Ecuador are second in the Copa America offensively
• Mexico vs. Ecuador picks: See picks here

Why you should back Mexico

Through the first two games, Mexico's offense have been inconsistent, scoring just once. They will need to change that in this contest and could be looking at Santiago Gimenez for a boost. Gimenez is a big target in front of the goal with impressive leaping ability and solid accuracy on headers.

He moves well without the ball, but also knows how to finish around the net. In the 2023-24 season with Feyenoord Rotterdam FC, Gimenez had 23 goals and six assists with 50 shots on target. Goalkeeper Julio González provides Mexico with an instinctive defender. González logged 47 saves and seven clean sheets in the 2024 Liga MX Clausura with Pumas Unam. See which team to pick here .

Why you should back Ecuador

Kendry Paez is an attacking force from the midfield for Ecuador. He is very assertive with the ball and uses his burst of speed to get past defenders. He's scored one goal on eight total shots in the first two games of the tournament. His athleticism and quickness always make him a problem for defenses.

Midfielder Alan Minda is another young and athletic impact player for Ecuadorians. Minda has impressive upper body strength to wall off opponents, while also having good dribble moves to break down defenders. In the 2023-24 season for Cerc Brugge KSV, Minda finished with seven goals in 18 starts. See which team to pick here .

How to make Ecuador vs. Mexico picks

Sutton is going Under on the total. He has also identified a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over one best bet. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine .

What is the best bet for Mexico vs. Ecuador on Sunday? Visit SportsLine now to see which wager in Ecuador vs. Mexico has all the value, all from the soccer expert who finished 2022 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark , and find out.