Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (56-42) and Minnesota Twins (54-43) finish a 2-game series Sunday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-1

Milwaukee beat Minnesota 8-4 in 12 innings Saturday while covering as a +112 road underdog. The Brewers scored 5 runs in the 12th to break the 3-3 tie. LF Jackson Chourio went 3-of-5 at the plate with 2 RBI in the win.

The Brewers have won back-to-back games and the Twins have now lost back-to-back contests.

Brewers at Twins projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Civale (2-7, 4.94 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 98 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 1-0 loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 11
• Career vs. Minnesota: 1-4, 4.19 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 10 starts

Ryan (6-6, 3.53 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 114 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 7-1 loss vs. San Francisco Giants on July 12
• Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-0, 1.69 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 start

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Brewers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Brewers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Brewers 4

PASS.

I slightly lean toward the Twins to win this game, but as -160 favorites they are too costly betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

BET BREWERS +1.5 (-155).

Milwaukee is 2-0 in its last 2 road games and is 4-1 in its last 5 vs. Minnesota. The Brewers are also 52-46 ATS this season and 21-11 ATS as a road underdog this year while the Twins are only 45-52 ATS on the year.

Milwaukee’s chances to cover here, and honestly to win the game outright, are very high.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in each of Milwaukee’s last 3 outings and is 7-3 in its last 10 games. For Minnesota, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 home games. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 Milwaukee-Minnesota matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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