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Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions
By Payton Shanks,
4 hours ago
The Milwaukee Brewers (61-47) and Washington Nationals (49-60) meet Friday to begin a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Nationalsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Washington leads 2-1
Milwaukee lost 6-2 to the Atlanta Braves Wednesday while failing to cover as a +103 home underdog. The Brewers have lost back-to-back games and have scored 3 or less runs in each of their last 5 losses. This is Milwaukee’s 1st game back on the road after going 4-2 on a 6-game homestand.
Washington lost 5-4 to the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday while failing to cover as a +162 road underdog, extending the Nationals’ losing steak to 4 games. The Nationals are home aftera 2-4 road trip.
Brewers at Nationals projected starters
RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Jake Irvin
Montas (4-8, 5.01 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 93 1/3 IP.
Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 9-4 win at Atlanta on July 24 as a member of the Cincinnati Reds
Career vs. Washington: 1-1, 9.00 ERA (12 IP, 12 ER), 16 H, 5 BB, 8 K in 4 appearances (2 starts)
Irvin (8-8, 3.44 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 14-3 win at St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (14 IP, 12 ER), 18 H, 10 BB, 11 K in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Brewers -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+136) | Nationals +1.5 (-164)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +102 | U: -124)
Brewers at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Nationals 3
BET BREWERS (-118).
Milwaukee is 5-5 in its last 10 games and 3-1 in its last 4 road games while the Nationals are 3-7 in their last 10 and have dropped 3 straight at home.
Be aware these teams are 5-5 in the last 10 meetings.
PASS.
I like the Nationals to cover here as +1.5 (-164) underdogs, but the line is just slightly too risky for me. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-124).
The Under is 3-1 in Washington’s last 4 home games and has hit in each of Milwaukee’s last 3 on the road. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Washington.
This is a lean because the Over is 6-4 in Washington’s last 10 outings and 5-4-1 in Milwaukee’s last 10.
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