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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions
By Payton Shanks,
22 hours ago
The Detroit Tigers (38-47) and Minnesota Twins (48-37) meet Wednesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Target field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twinsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 4-4
Minnesota beat Detroit 5-3 on Tuesday while covering as a -127 home favorite. The Twins scored 3 unanswered runs after being down 3-2 to come away with their 3rd straight win.
The Tigers have allowed 5 or more runs in each of their last 6 games and gone 1-5 during that span.
Tigers at Twins projected starters
RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP David Festa
Flaherty (5-5, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 89 IP.
Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-0 loss vs. the Los Angeles Angels Thursday
Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 15 H, 4 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
Festa (1-0, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 3.6 K/9 in 5 IP.
First MLB start: Win, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 13-6 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday
The 24-year-rookie was 17-10 with 3.41 ERA in 63 minor league games (54 starts) over 4 seasons
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Tigers +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Twins -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+132)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Tigers at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Tigers 5
PASS.
The Twins should win here as they enter being 7-3 in their last 10 overall while Detroit is 3-7 in their last 10, but the line being set at (-164) makes it not worth the risk of betting on, especially with a pitcher making just his 2nd MLB start. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.
LEAN TIGERS +1.5 (-160).
The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings with Minnesota, also going 3-3 in the last 6 games in Minnesota. And 3 of their last 5 meetings have had 1-run games.
This is a lean because neither team has an ATS edge over the other.
BET OVER 9 (-110).
Best bet on the board. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 7-3 in its last 10 games. For Detroit, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 games. The Over also hit Tuesday and is 5-3-1 in the last 9 Tigers-Twins meetings. And the rookie Festa allowed 5 ER in 5 IP in his MLB debut last week.
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