Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx odds, picks and predictions

The Connecticut Sun (15-4) and Minnesota Lynx (14-5) meet Thursday at Target Center in Minneapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Sun lead 1-0

The Sun picked up an 83-72 win at the Phoenix Mercury last time out as 4.5-point favorites as the Under (157) cashed. It was just the 2nd win in 5 tries for Connecticut, while it halted an 0-5 against the spread (ATS) skid. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 outings.

The Lynx have lost 2 of the past 3 games since winning the Commissioner’s Cup at the New York Liberty June 25. Minnesota is also 1-2 ATS in the 3 games since, while cashing the Under in 4 of the past 5 regular-season outings. The Under is also 8-3 in the past 11 regular-season contests.

These teams met May 23 at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., with the Sun edging the Lynx 83-82 in OT, although Minnesota cashed as a 5.5-point underdog with the Over (162) cashing.

In that OT loss, Minnesota shot 48.5% (33-of-68) from the field, but just 19.0% (4-of-21) from behind the 3-point line and 60.0% (12-of-20) from the free-throw line, while turning it over 17 times. F Napheesa Collier had 31 points with 11 rebounds in 44 minutes.

The Sun shot 44.8% (30-of-67) from the field in the OT win, while going 45.5% (5-of-11) from behind the arc, and 85.7% (18-of-21) from the free-throw stripe. F DeWanna Bonner led the way with 20 points, 1 of 3 Sun starters with at least 18 points.

Sun at Lynx odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:29 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Sun +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Lynx -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Sun +3 (-108) | Lynx -3 (-112)
• Over/Under (O/U): 151 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Sun at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 76, Sun 71

MINNESOTA (-160) is worth a look as a moderate favorite on the moneyline, as this should be a rather close game between 2 teams not playing very well lately.

Connecticut (+130) has lost 4 games all season, but 3 of those setbacks have occurred in the past 5 outings. The Sun can’t be trusted on the road. Minnesota could have easily won the 1st meeting, but it struggled from downtown and from the free-throw line. With a change of venue, the Lynx should be able to get the job done at home.

MINNESOTA -3 (-112) is cheaper laying the points, but don’t play both (the spread and the moneyline), as we’re not double dipping.

Connecticut has struggled against the number, going just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 outings. The Sun also failed to cover against the Lynx in the 1st meeting, too.

Go lightly with the Lynx at home.

UNDER 151 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this marquee battle on July 4 which is sure to have plenty of fireworks.

While the Over has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games for Connecticut, don’t get too pressed about that. The Under is 7-0 in the past 7 games for the Sun against Western Conference opponents.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 regular-season contests for the Lynx, while going 8-3 in the past 11 outings, not including the Commissioner’s Cup Final.

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