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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALERTS: A heat advisory for nuisance heat problem is in effect from 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. today for the following counties: Inland Ocean, Inland Monmouth, Burlington, Gloucester, Camden, Mercer, Middlesex and Somerset.
A rip currents statement for dangerous expected rip currents is in effect for the shore today.
NEW: Record heat will be possible today. Egg Harbor Township (ACY Airport) has a record high of 98F (1952), there's a chance of tying that. Teterboro Airport has a record high of 96F (2007), which could fall as well. Then, there are the thunderstorms, which could bring severe weather. Storms will flare up as early as 2 p.m. in northwest New Jersey. However, the main time for thunderstorms will be 5 -11 p.m. If storms arrive on the earlier side, severe weather threatens. Similar to Sunday's threat, damaging winds will be the main concern, along with flooding rain. However, a tornado will be possible in the state.
Lastly, with the heat, people will want to go to the beach to cool off. I expect a number of beaches to have red flags on them, preventing swimming, due to the rip current risk.
NOW: It's becoming humid this morning, as a breezy wind out of the southwest blows. Morning lows will be 70-75 degrees, with 65-70 degrees in the Pine Barrens and northwest New Jersey. By midday, it's hot inland and sticky everywhere in the state. The peak heat index will be 100-105F inland, with most of the day at least in the 90s. Air temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s, cooler in northwest NW. It remains breezy, which will keep air quality fairly good.
For the shore, high temperatures will be in the 80s, hottest in Monmouth County. It'll be breezy at the beach and sand will likely be flying around, too. A mostly sunny sky will turn mostly cloudy from northwest to southeast during the afternoon. Storms begin as early at 2 p.m. in northwest New Jersey, likely holding off until 6 p.m. or so in Ocean County and points south.
The main time for storms will be 6 p.m.-12 a.m. Again, damaging winds and flooding rain are the biggest concerns. However, a tornado will be possible, too. The public should have a way to be woken up by a tornado warning if they're sleeping during this time. After 12 a.m., hit or miss rain showers will fall for the rest of the night. It'll slowly feel less humid, as winds come out of the north. Rain showers will end from 4-6 a.m., from west to east across the state. Temperatures will fall between 65-72 degrees.
NEXT: Thursday and Friday will both be rain-free, bright days, as it becomes increasingly less humid and hot. Thursday will have high temperatures in the 80s just above everywhere with slightly humid conditions. Friday will be refreshing, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Air conditioners can be safely turned off for many Thursday and Friday nights. The weekend will be defined by a thunderstorm generating cold front that will enter Saturday night and only slowly move east Sunday. Neither Saturday nor Sunday will be a washout. However, up to three hours of rain could fall each day. It'll be seasonable (highs in the 80s) and humid. Wednesday will be similar to Sunday, with high heat and humidity, as well as a severe weather risk. However, there's the rip current risk as well. After Wednesday evening, it's a comfortable end to the week.
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