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New York Liberty at Indiana Fever odds, picks and predictions
By Kevin Erickson,
11 hours ago
The New York Liberty (17-3) and Indiana Fever (8-13) meet Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Fever odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty leads 3-0
Rookie G Caitlin Clark and the Fever hope the 4th time is a charm. They’re 0-3 vs. the Liberty this season and 1-2 against the spread (ATS) in those losses.
New York won at Indiana 102-66 as an 8.5-point favorite May 16 with the Under (170) cashing. The other 2 wins came in New York (91-80 as a 13-point favorite May 18 and 104-68 as a 14.5-point fave June 2). The average margin of the 3 Liberty’s victories is 27.7 points per game (PPG).
Entering Saturday, Indiana has dropped 3 of its past 4 games and cashed 3 Unders in a row. The Fever are 1-2 ATS in the past 3 games after a 5-0 ATS run June 13-23.
New York has won 5 regular-season games in a row since a 99-93 setback at Phoenix June 18 — the Liberty lost 94-89 to the Minnesota Lynx in the Commissioner’s Cup final June 25. Including that title game, the Liberty are 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games, while the Under has hit in the past 2 contests.
Moneyline (ML): Liberty -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Fever +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
Against the spread: Liberty -9.5 (-112) | Fever +9.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 173 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Liberty at Fever picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 89, Fever 76
New York (-500) will cost 5 times the potential return. While the Liberty have dominated this season series, you still can’t risk that much for such a small return.
Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, it makes no sense to include such a heavy favorite on your ticket.
AVOID.
NEW YORK -9.5 (-112) has won all 3 meetings vs. Indiana this season by at least 11 points, including two 36-point beatdowns.
The Liberty have won 5 straight regular-season games, and it has covered 2 of the past 3 of those outings.
After a hot stretch, the Fever dropped 3 of the past 4 games, while going 1-2 ATS in the past 3 outings.
UNDER 173 (-110) might be the best play on the board.
The Under has cashed in 3 straight games for the Fever, who averaged just 78.0 PPG in the stretch.
The Liberty have hit the Under in each of the past 2 outings, averaging 78.5 PPG on offense, while conceding just 71.0 PPG.
While the Over is 2-1 in the previous 3 meetings between these sides, the Under cashed in the only prior battle in Indianapolis.
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