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Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 Austrian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
19 days ago
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With wins in each of the last two races, Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen has built up a 69-point lead in pursuit of his fourth consecutive Formula 1 championship and now he'll have home-track advantage in the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday. Red Bull purchased, renovated and renamed a track formerly known as the Österreichring and the investment into Red Bull Ring led to F1 reinstating the Austrian Grand Prix in 2014 after a decade-long hiatus. Verstappen has won four of the last six grand prix at Red Bull Ring and he's now won seven of 10 races this season.
Verstappen is the -175 favorite (bet $175 to win $100) in the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix odds, but McLaren's Lando Norris has been a serious challenger in recent weeks and he's priced at +260. Meanwhile, Ferrari has fallen off considerably after a double podium in Monaco and Charles Leclerc is priced at +1600 while Carlos Sainz Jr. is +2800. Before analyzing the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Austrian GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model .
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all seven of the three-time defending champion's wins so far in the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
Top 2024 Formula 1 Austrian Grand Prix predictions
One surprise: The model is fading Oscar Piastri, predicting that he barely cracks the top 10 to earn points for his team. Piastri's McLaren teammate Lando Norris has moved into second in the F1 standings and he's been fighting for victories since McLaren was able to implement significant design changes earlier in the season.
Piastri also saw a boost from the updates, finishing fourth at Monza and then second in Monaco. However, he's fallen off a bit since, finishing fifth in the Canadian Grand Prix and then seventh in the Spanish Grand Prix. Piastri made his Austrian Grand Prix debut in 2023 and finished a disappointing 16th and the model is predicting another tough run at Red Bull Ring on Sunday. See more 2024 Austrian Grand Prix picks right here .
Max Verstappen -175 Lando Norris +260 Charles Leclerc +1600 Lewis Hamilton +2000 George Russell +2000 Oscar PIastri +2500 Carlos Sainz +2800 Sergio Perez +3300 Fernando Alonso +25000 Pierre Gasly +50000 Esteban Ocon +50000 Lance Stroll +75000 Yuki Tsunoda +75000 Daniel Ricciardo +75000 Nico Hulkenberg +100000 Alexander Albon +100000 Kevin Magnussen +100000 Valtteri Bottas +150000 Guanyu Zhou +150000 Logan Sargeant +200000
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