Euro 2024: Portugal vs. Slovenia odds, picks and predictions

Portugal battles Slovenia in the Round of 16 of Euro 2024 from Frankfurt Arena Monday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Portugal vs. Slovenia odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.

Portugal finished atop Group F with 2 wins and a loss. It tied with Turkey, both tallying 6 points, but Portugal’s +2 goal difference was the deciding factor. Portugal beat Czechia 2-1 and Turkey 3-0 before losing 2-0 to Georgia Wednesday. Man City F Bernardo Silva is arguably its most lethal attacker given the age of 39-year-old starting F Cristiano Ronaldo. Portugal ranks 6th in the FIFA World Rankings.

Slovenia ranks 57th in the world. It finished 3rd in Group C, a group that had England finish 1st and Denmark 2nd. Slovenia drew all 3 group stage matches with the games vs. Denmark and Serbia ending 1-1 and against England 0-0. Twenty-one-year-old F Benjamin Šeško, who plays for RB Leipzig, is the most creative attacker for Slovenia.

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Portugal vs. Slovenia odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Portugal -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Slovenia +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Draw +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
• Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

Portugal vs. Slovenia picks and predictions

Prediction

Portugal 2, Slovenia 0

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

Unfortunately, there’s just no strong play here. Taking a draw at +400 is the only wager with any potential given Slovenia did hold its own against Denmark and England.

Portugal has a more uniform team and style of play than either of those opponents though, and also played well in the group stage. Even in its lone loss, Portugal took 15 more shots than Georgia. Portugal’s attack has that key finisher as well as technical pace on the edges.

Expect it to break through easily. At -300, Portugal isn’t worth the risk.

: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+100).

Slovenia went Under this total in every group stage game and has gone Under it in 5 of its last 6. It scored 2 goals in the group stage while allowing just 2. Portugal went Under against Georgia but went north of the total in its first 2 games, mainly due to it scoring 5 goals.

Slovenia has the defense to deal with Ronaldo and Co., having held Denmark and England to 1 goal in both games. Portugal allowed just 7 shots on frame through the group stage and should be able to hold Slovenia scoreless in this match.

TAKE UNDER 2.5 (+100).

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