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MLB HR props for Tue. 7/2: Everything points to dingers at Wrigley
By Jack Dougherty,
19 days ago
Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos.
That's how you start the week off strong! We cashed our ticket on William Contreras to go yard on Monday night, and we're hunting down another winner for Tuesday night's MLB slate. Here are our three favorite looks.
We don't know Soler personally, but we can guarantee you he woke up with an extra pep in his step on Tuesday morning. That's because he gets to face Reynaldo Lopez and the Atlanta Braves later. In 21 career plate appearances against Lopez, Soler is 12-19 (.632) with three home runs, three doubles and a whopping 1.263 slugging percentage. Those numbers almost aren't believable, but they're real. Soler doesn't have a home run in his last 38 at-bats, but his stellar track record against Lopez is too good to ignore.
Toronto Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is having trouble keeping balls in the park right now. The right-hander has surrendered eight home runs in his last five starts, and he's given up a 42.4 percent fly-ball rate in that span. Alvarez is on a tear with three home runs, a .324 batting average and a .649 slugging percentage over the last 15 days. The Houston Astros slugger is rarely priced above +350 to go yard, so we're jumping on this in a friendly matchup.
The best home run weather on the slate looks to be in Chicago, as the wind is projected to blow strongly out to left-center field at Wrigley Field. Castellanos got off to a slow start at the plate this season, but he's starting to swing the bat well. The Philadelphia Phillies outfielder is batting .370 with two home runs and a .565 slugging percentage over the last 15 days. He's a pull hitter who can get a ball up in this wind and ride it over the ivy.
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