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2024 Scottish Open picks, predictions, odds, field: Golf expert fading Tommy Fleetwood at The Renaissance Club
By CBS Sports Staff,
4 hours ago
The PGA Tour ventures over the Atlantic Ocean this week for the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open beginning on Thursday at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick. Co-sanctioned between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, the tournament will feature 75 PGA Tour members and a similar number from the DP World Tour. The event is the last chance for players to fine-tune their games before the final major of the season, the Open Championship next week at Royal Troon.
Rory McIlroy, who won last year's Scottish Open, is the +650 favorite in the 2024 Scottish Open odds, just ahead of reigning PGA champion Xander Schauffele (+750). Collin Morikawa (+1200), Ludvig Aberg (+1400), Viktor Hovland (+2000) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) round out the top six choices among the 2024 Scottish Open field. Before locking in any 2024 Scottish Open picks, make sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad .
Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He also has been solid with his head-to-head matchups since last year's Charles Schwab Challenge, going 51-35-5 and returning 12.93 units over that span. That's a $1,293 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.
Nejad also nailed Wyndham Clark, a 75-1 longshot, as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship last year. In 2023, SportsLine debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Last week, Nejad included Davis Thompson among his outright winners and scored at +2200 when Thompson won going away.
Now, Nejad has turned his attention to the 2024 Scottish Open field and locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine .
Top 2024 Scottish Open expert picks
One surprise: Nejad is completely fading Tommy Fleetwood, even though he is ranked No. 11 in the world. One of the favorites in the field at +2000, Fleetwood has three top-10 and eight top-25 finishes in 14 PGA Tour events this year. He is coming off a 15th-place finish in the Travelers Championship three weeks ago.
But in 140 career PGA Tour events, Fleetwood has never finished on top of the leaderboard. His best finish is second place, which he has done five times. "He's a popular pick for many, but I simply don't think he can close in a field like this so I'll be avoiding him," Nejad told SportsLine.
Another curveball: Nejad is high on Swedish sensation Ludvig Aberg. The fourth choice in the odds at +1400, Aberg has two runner-up finishes, six top-10s, and 10 top-25s in 14 starts this year. He has taken two weeks off since finishing 27th in the Travelers Championship.
Nejad likes that Aberg has an all-around game to win this week. Aberg ranks eighth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: total (+1.236). "I love his upside if the short game shines, and I like that he's taken the last two weeks off to prepare to go overseas and rest his knee, which has been a small issue this year," Nejad said. See which other players to back at SportsLine .
How to make 2024 Scottish Open picks
Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2024 Scottish Open and is backing multiple longshots, including one priced at more than +5000. This player "fits the mold of a player who can win this tournament" and is a longshot who could surprise. You can see Nejad's PGA Tour picks only at SportsLine .
Rory McIlroy +650 Xander Schauffele +750 Collin Morikawa +1200 Ludvig Aberg +1400 Viktor Hovland +2000 Tommy Fleetwood +2000 Tom Kim +2500 Min Woo Lee +2500 Hideki Matsuyama +2800 Matt Fitzpatrick +3500 Justin Thomas +3500 Sungjae Im +4000 Robert MacIntyre +4000 Corey Conners +4000 Aaron Rai +4000 Wyndham Clark +4500 Sahith Theegala +4500 Max Homa +5000 Jordan Spieth +5000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000 Byeong Hun An +5000 Brian Harman +5000 Sepp Straka +5500 Davis Thompson +5500 Si Woo Kim +6000 Thomas Detry +7000 Adam Scott +7000 Tom Hoge +7500 Erik Van Rooyen +7500 Alex Noren +7500 Will Zalatoris +8000 Tom McKibbin +8000 Ryan Fox +8000 Nicolai Hojgaard +8000 Keith Mitchell +8000 Denny McCarthy +8000 Billy Horschel +8000 Rasmus Hojgaard +9000 Matthieu Pavon +9000 Harris English +10000 Victor Perez +11000 Sebastian Soderberg +11000 Rickie Fowler +11000 Matt Wallace +11000 Kurt Kitayama +11000 Keita Nakajima +11000 Jordan Smith +11000 Ewen Ferguson +11000 Adam Hadwin +11000 Taylor Moore +12000 Seamus Power +12000 Ryo Hisatsune +12000 Mackenzie Hughes +12000 Kevin Yu +12000 Justin Rose +12000 Bernd Wiesberger +12000 Ben Griffin +12000 Sam Stevens +15000 Matthew Jordan +15000 Mark Hubbard +15000 Laurie Canter +15000 Guido Migliozzi +15000 Eric Cole +15000 Cam Davis +15000 Austin Eckroat +15000 Lucas Glover +17000 Doug Ghim +17000 Andrew Novak +17000 Taylor Montgomery +17000 Thorbjorn Olesen +20000 Sami Valimaki +20000 Rikuya Hoshino +20000 Richard Mansell +20000 Nick Taylor +20000 Matti Schmid +20000 Lee Hodges +20000 Emiliano Grillo +20000 Davis Riley +20000 Calum Hill +20000 Andrew Putnam +20000 Thriston Lawrence +25000 Romain Langasque +25000 Niklas Norgaard +25000 Matthew Southgate +25000 K.H. Lee +25000 Justin Lower +25000 Julien Guerrier +25000 Joost Luiten +25000 Connor Syme +25000 Brendon Todd +25000 Alex Fitzpatrick +25000 Adrian Otaegui +25000 Max Greyserman +25000 Yannik Paul +30000 Luke List +30000 Chris Gotterup +30000 Chandler Phillips +30000 Antoine Rozner +30000 Jesper Svensson +35000 Sean Crocker +40000 Scott Jamieson +40000 Pablo Larrazabal +40000 Matteo Manassero +40000 Marcel Siem +40000 Jorge Campillo +40000 Haotong Li +40000 Charley Hoffman +40000 Ben Kohles +40000 Alexander Bjork +40000 Vincent Norrman +50000 Nacho Elvira +50000 Junghwan Lee +50000 Gary Woodland +50000 Dan Bradbury +50000 Callum Shinkwin +50000 Brice Garnett +50000 Yuto Katsuragawa +60000 Stewart Cink +60000 Shubhankar Sharma +60000 Richie Ramsay +60000 Padraig Harrington +60000 Nico Echavarria +60000 Grant Forrest +60000 Ugo Coussaud +70000 David Law +70000 Adri Arnaus +70000 Aaron Cockerill +70000 Todd Clements +100000 Maximilian Kieffer +100000 Luke Donald +100000 Louis de Jager +100000 Kiradech Aphibarnrat +100000 Jens Dantorp +100000 Jeff Winther +100000 Jason Scrivener +100000 Francesco Molinari +100000 Dylan Frittelli +100000 Darius Van Driel +100000 Daniel Hillier +100000 Daniel Brown +100000 Sanghyun Park +150000 Jeong-Woo Ham +150000 Santiago Tarrio +200000 Matthew Baldwin +200000 Ashun Wu +200000 Simon Forsstrom +250000 Ockie Strydom +250000 Nick Bachem +250000 Masahiro Kawamura +250000 Marcus Armitage +250000 Jordan Gumberg +250000 Hurly Long +250000 Dale Whitnell +250000 Cole Rueck +250000 Oliver Wilson +500000 Daniel Gavins +500000
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