Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from top NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's off year

The new NFL season is quickly approaching and training camps are right around the corner. For avid owners, the time is now to start preparing their 2024 fantasy football draft strategy and 2024 fantasy football rankings. Several prominent NFL players who are perennially near the top of the fantasy football rankings changed teams during the offseason. Pro Bowlers Kirk Cousins, Saquon Barkley, Keenan Allen, and Austin Ekeler are all set to be playing in different uniforms in 2024. How well each player adjusts to their new surroundings will have a significant impact on whether they'll be high 2024 fantasy football picks.

Will any of the aforementioned players continue to be strong fantasy football 2024 picks or will they ultimately end up being among the 2024 fantasy football busts? As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Seahawks receiver DK Metcalf. The 26-year-old set a career-high in yards per reception (16.9) to finish with 1,114 yards, the second-most yards in his five-year career. The 16.9 yards per reception was a significant leap from the season before (11.6), so it may be difficult for Metcalf to surpass 1,100 yards again unless he has an increase in receptions. Metcalf had 66 receptions last season, the second-lowest of his career.

Metcalf has recorded at least 900 yards in each of his five NFL seasons. He's been a consistent performer, but the yards per reception gave him a huge boost last year that can be hard to duplicate. He was fifth in the NFL in yards per reception after ranking 62nd and 45th in that category the previous two years. Geno Smith enters year three as the Seahawks starter and his passing yards, yards per attempt and QBR all dropped from year one to year two. Metcalf is going ahead of receivers like Stefon Diggs and Michael Pittman, who the model has as higher-ranked options.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Texans running back Joe Mixon. Houston traded for Mixon during the offseason, and the former Oklahoma standout is expected to be the team's bell cow and solidify its backfield. Despite having a long track record as one of the league's most consistent fantasy football running backs, the model is calling for a dip in production from Mixon in 2024.

Mixon has a current ADP of 16.5 in CBS Sports fantasy football drafts. The 27-year-old is being drafted ahead of running backs Travis Etienne Jr., Jahmyr Gibbs, Josh Jacobs, and Rachaad White, who are all rated ahead of the 27-year-old in SportsLine's fantasy football rankings. Mixon is playing in a Houston offense that is loaded with talent, which could limit his overall number of touches -- especially in the red zone -- in 2024. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023 , and find out.