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MLB strikeout props for 7/30: Back Glasnow against the Padres
By Jack Dougherty,
5 hours ago
Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow.
We scratched out a small profit on Monday with a 1-1 mark in strikeout props (with one scratched start). Let's keep it rolling with our three favorite K props for Tuesday's MLB slate.
Burnes has been fantastic for the Baltimore Orioles this season, but he's not doing it by generating a ton of strikeouts. The right-hander ranks in just the 55th percentile in K rate (23.0 percent), and he's gone under this line in four of his last six starts. This is also a tough matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays. In 37 plate appearances against Burnes, current Blue Jays hitters have a pesky strikeout rate of only 10.8 percent.
Nelson is one of our favorite pitchers to fade in strikeout props. The Arizona Diamondbacks starter ranks in the third percentile in whiff rate (17.6 percent) and the ninth percentile in strikeout rate (16.4 percent) this season. The Washington Nationals have the sixth-lowest strikeout rate against righties over the last week (18.5 percent), and Nelson managed just two Ks in 7.0 innings of work against the Nats earlier this year.
This is a surprisingly low number on one of the best strikeout artists in MLB. Glasnow ranks in the 95th percentile in strikeout rate (33.0 percent) and the 85th percentile in whiff rate (30.5 percent), and he's gone over this line in 12 straight starts against teams not named the San Francisco Giants. The big right-hander has a 27.9 percent K rate in his career against current San Diego Padres hitters, and he struck out 10 batters in his last start against this lineup.
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