Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from NFL model that called Deebo Samuel's off year

With the 2024 NFL schedule rapidly approaching, it's time for managers to start their 2024 fantasy football draft prep. History has proven that every year there will be multiple fantasy football sleepers and fantasy football breakouts who come out of nowhere and finish the season atop the fantasy football rankings. In 2023, players like Pukla Nacua, Sam LaPorta, and Kyren Williams went from late-round picks, or undrafted in many leagues, to being fantasy football stalwarts.

Are Nacua, LaPorta, or Williams in line to take a step back in fantasy football 2024? And who are this year's top 2024 fantasy football breakouts, 2024 fantasy football sleepers, and 2024 fantasy football busts? Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Cardinals running back James Conner. Despite missing four games last season, Conner had his first 1,000-yard rushing season and also averaged a career-high 5.0 yards per carry. Yet, he's only the 26th running back coming off the board in early 2024 Fantasy football drafts.

He's missed eight games in three years with the Cardinals but has still produced 3,414 scrimmage yards and 35 touchdowns. Now the Cardinals have Kyler Murray healthy and Marvin Harrison Jr. as the new No. 1 receiver, and that should free up some running lanes for Conner. That's a big reason why the model ranks him as RB17 for 2024. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels. The rookie rushed for more than 1,100 yards in his final season at LSU, and now he is paired with a proven offensive coordinator in Kliff Kingsbury. Daniels led all college passers in adjusted completion rate last year, while also ranking fourth in play-action passing grade.

The reigning Heisman Trophy winner completed 72.2% of his passes for 3,812 yards and 40 touchdowns during a dynamic final season. He is surrounded by playmakers Austin Ekeler, Brian Robinson, Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz, making this a quality scheme for him to open his career. The primary concern is an offensive line that struggled last year, but that could open up even more opportunities for Daniels to rack up Fantasy points on the ground. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Bears running back D'Andre Swift as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Swift proved to be a dynamic threat out of the backfield while playing for the Eagles in 2023. In his lone season with Philadelphia, the former Georgia standout rushed for 1,049 yards and five touchdowns, and caught 39 passes for 214 and a score.

Swift entered the NFL as a second round pick after an outstanding collegiate career at Georgia. He spent three seasons with the Detroit Lions before landing with the Eagles in 2023. Swift signed with the Chicago Bears during the offseason, and will be playing in a pass heavy offense that will feature a lot of explosive talent on the outside. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams is a dual-threat and could steal red zone touches, and Chicago will undoubtedly want to get the ball in the hands of pass catchers Rome Odunze, D.J. Moore, Cole Kmet, and Keenan Allen. Swift has a current ADP of 17 in CBS Sports drafts, but SportsLine's model ranks him RB24. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year , and find out.