Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Sleepers, breakouts, busts by NFL model that nailed Deebo Samuel's rough year

Rookie quarterbacks selected with the No. 1 overall pick are often popular players entering Fantasy football draft prep because of the hype and anticipation that they can turn around a franchise. However, over the last 10 years, only Kyler Murray finished as a top-10 scoring quarterback in the Fantasy football QB rankings in his rookie campaign after being selected No. 1 overall. Caleb Williams will be the latest quarterback to try and break that trend. Williams is one of the highest anticipated rookie quarterbacks in recent years and is expected to start Week 1 for the Bears and climb the 2024 Fantasy football rankings. Is he a player to target as one of the potential 2024 Fantasy football breakouts?

With reliable 2024 Fantasy football rankings, you can find value throughout your upcoming draft and identify potential 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, 2024 Fantasy football breakouts, and 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Jets receiver Mike Williams. The 29-year-old is working his way back from a torn ACL that he suffered last season, telling reporters he expects to be healthy for the regular season. He could slot in behind Garrett Wilson atop the Jets depth chart, giving veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers a reliable deep threat in the passing game.

The former Chargers star was the WR15 before going down with his torn ACL in Week 3 last year and posted a 1,000-yard campaign in 2021. New York will get an upgrade at quarterback with Rodgers, who has won multiple MVP awards and is one of the top signal-callers in league history. SportsLine's model ranks Williams ahead of wide receivers like Xavier Worthy and Courtland Sutton, suggesting that he is flying under the radar as one of the Fantasy football sleepers 2024. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Cardinals wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. The son of the Hall of Fame wide receiver Marvin Harrison Sr., the younger Harrison was a two-time consensus All-American at Ohio State. He led the Big Ten in receptions, yards per catch and receiving touchdowns in 2023, and he finished fourth in the Heisman Trophy voting.

The Cardinals revamped the wide receiver position during the offseason, after Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore departed during free agency. Harrison has a chance to emerge as the No. 1 option in Arizona's pass-heavy attack during training camp, and is considered by many to be the most polished wide receiver to enter the NFL in the last decade. With tight end Trey McBride's emergence as one of the top young pass-catching tight ends in the NFL, Harrison should see plenty of single coverage in 2024. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Pitts has been one of the biggest disappointments in Fantasy football since his debut in 2021. He became the highest-drafted tight end in NFL history when being selected with the No. 4 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, which left Fantasy football players assuming he would quickly become the next stud at the position. Instead, he became underutilized in the offense. Pitts averaged four receptions and 60.4 yards per game as a rookie and even those less-than-stellar numbers have dipped significantly over the last two seasons.

Pitts is averaging three receptions and 37.9 yards per game over his last two seasons. He had more receiving yards as a rookie (1,026) than his next two years combined (1,023). The firing of head coach Arthur Smith combined with the addition of Kirk Cousins has led to excitement about Pitts being more involved in the offense, but we've seen this story before in Atlanta. There's no guarantee Pitts is utilized as you'd expect a No. 4 overall pick to be and with him going ahead of established and proven NFL tight ends in 2024 Fantasy football drafts, the model has Pitts as a 2024 Fantasy football bust this year. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year , and find out.