Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (62-41) and Philadelphia Phillies (64-39) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0

Cleveland got back in the win column with a 3-1 victory over Philadelphia Friday as a +163 road underdog. RHP Ben Lively fanned 6 and allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win, and RHP Emmanuel Clase pitched a scoreless 9th, his 32nd save of the season.

Philadelphia has lost back-to-back games after failing to cash as a -179 home favorite Friday. Phillies 2B Bryson Stott hit a solo shot in the 5th inning, and LHP Cristopher Sanchez allowed 3 ER in 6 innings and picked up the loss.

Guardians at Phillies projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Tyler Phillips

Carrasco (3-8, 5.32 ERA) makes his 19 start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 91 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 8-2 home defeat against Detroit Tigers Monday
• Career vs. Phillies: 3-1, 3.51 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 6 appearances (4 starts), including 1-0 with 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts last year

Phillips (2-0, 2.81 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 0.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 16 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-0 victory at Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
• Never faced Guardians before

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Guardians at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Phillies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Guardians +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Guardians at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES ( -145 ).

Philadelphia has the best record in all of baseball, and a large part of that is due to its 37-17 home record. Phillips has had a bright start to his young career with a 2.81 ERA and allowing 0 ER through 6 innings in his last start. The Phillies face Carraasco, who has struggled recently and has a 5.32 ERA. Expect the Phillies to bounce back Saturday to get back in the win column.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS .

The moneyline is the better play for the Phillies in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 ( -105 ).

The Guardians are just 2-8 to the Over in their last 10 games and have hit the Under in 3 in a row. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games and allowed 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 10. The Phillies have scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games and allowed 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 5.

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