Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-44) and Seattle Mariners (58-53) meet for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Seattle leads 1-0

Seattle overwhelmed Philadelphia 10-2 Friday while covering as a -109 home favorite. The Mariners scored a whopping 7 runs in the 2nd thanks to a 3-run shot from CF Luke Raley and a grand slam from DH Justin Turner . RHP Bryan Woo got the win, pitching 7 scoreless innings while allowing 5 H and racking up 6 K.

Friday’s loss marked the 5th straight for Philly while Seattle is 2-1 in its last 3 overall. RHP Tyler Phillips took the loss, allowing 8 ER, 5 H, and 3 BB in only 1 2/3 IP.

Phillies at Mariners projected starters

RHP Orion Kerkering vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Kerkering (2-2, 2.21 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 42nd appearance. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 40 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K July 14 against Oakland Athletics
• Has never faced Seattle
• Home/road splits: Road – 2-0, 2.61 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.5 K/9; Home – 0-2, 1.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.5 K/9

Miller (8-7, 3.46 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 122 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-3 win at the White Sox Sunday
• First career start vs. Philadelphia

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Phillies at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Phillies at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Mariners 5

Moneyline

LEAN PHILLIES (+100).

Philadelphia is 4-2 in its last 6 meetings with the Mariners in Seattle. The Phillies are also the slightly better team and are a very solid 26-23 on the road this season.

This is a lean because the Mariners are the hotter team as Philly is only 2-8 in its last 10 and has dropped 5 straight while Seattle is 5-2 in its last 7 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The line is set too favorably to be worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-120).

The Over has hit in each of Philadelphia’s last 4 games and is 6-4 in its last 10.

For Seattle, the Over is 6-1 in its last 7 overall.

The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Philly-Seattle matchups overall, also being 4-1-1 in the last 6 matchups in Seattle.

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