Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) and San Diego Padres (49-43) face off Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch from PETCO Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-3.

The Diamondbacks lost the opener Friday 10-8 on a walk-off home run by 3B Manny Machado after they scored 6 in the top of the 9th to take a 8-7 lead. The Over (8.5) cashed in. The D-Backs have still won 4 of 6.

The Padres’ win gave them 3 straight. They are 12-3 in their last 15 games after losing 5 in a row.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Pfaadt (3-6, 4.28 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 103 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-1 home win over Oakland A’s Sunday
• 0-2 with 6.35 ERA in 2 starts vs. Padres this year

Waldron (5-7, 3.56 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-1 road loss to Boston Red Sox on Sunday
• Got the win in a 13-1 victory June 8 over Arizona, allowing 1 run in 6 innings
• 1-2 with 8.36 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Arizona

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-225) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Padres 6

The Diamondbacks are 2 walk-off hits from a 6-game winning streak. They scored 6 in the 9th inning to take a 1-run lead, only to have closer Paul Sewald give up 2 homers in the bottom of the inning. They have scored 29 runs in their last 3 games.

The Padres are 12-3 in their last 15 games and 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

Waldron picked up his 1st career win over Arizona last month, but he has struggled in 2 other career starts, while Pfaadt has struggled against the Padres this season.

The bats will be active.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+100).

Of the last 18 times the Diamondbacks have covered the spread, 17 have been outright wins.

Of the last 8 times that the Padres failed to cover the spread, 7 were outright losses.

And at -225 odds, you are far better taking the even-money odds for an Arizona outright win than the cover.

PASS.

Six of the last 7 meetings this season have had double-digit runs.

The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 5 straight games. Eight of their last 10 games have had more than 7 total runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

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