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Phillies vs. Pirates odds, line, score prediction, start time: 2024 MLB picks, July 19 bets by proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
5 hours ago
Robert Hanashiro / USA TODAY Sports
The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates open their post-All Star break campaigns on Friday evening in Pittsburgh. The Phillies have a league-leading 62-34 record, while Pittsburgh is .500 at 48-48. Righty Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.38 ERA) is on the mound for the Phillies, while lefty Martin Perez (1-5, 5.15 ERA) will get the start for Pittsburgh.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered the All-Star break of the 2024 MLB season a profitable 52-42 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 24-10 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+977). Anybody following has seen strong returns.
For Pirates vs. Phillies, one of the top picks from SportsLine's model is that Philadelphia first baseman Bryce Harper goes Over 1.5 total bases (+102). He records 2.2 total bases in the simulation and the model gives this a five-star ranking, its most confident grade.
Harper has an OPS of 1.010 in July and he even carried that momentum into the All-Star Game, where he recorded a double. Harper's splits against lefties, which is what he'll see in Perez, are even more impressive. He's hitting .316 with a .598 slugging percentage and an OPS of 1.016 this season against southpaws.
After a solid start to the season, Perez now has an 8.11 ERA since the start of May, so look for Harper to take advantage of this matchup and clear this line at a plus-money return. See more picks at SportsLine .
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