San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

The San Diego Padres (57-50) and Baltimore Orioles (61-43) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

San Diego won its 7th straight game Saturday, 9-4 over the Orioles after winning the Friday opener 6-4. RHP Michael King quelled Baltimore’s offense to just 2 runs over 6 1/3 innings Saturday and Padres 3B Manny Machado put away the team that drafted him with a 3-run blast in the 7th. San Diego improved to 31-22 on the road and 56-51 against the spread (ATS).

Baltimore’s defense failed SP Dean Kremer (6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1BB, 7 K) with 2 costly errors early in the game. CF Cedric Mullins provided all of the Orioles offense, going 2-for-4 with a HR, double and 4 RBIs. Baltimore has lost 5 of its last 6 games and is 13-18 during interleague play.

Padres at Orioles projected starters

RHP Randy Vasquez vs. RHP Albert Suarez

Vasquez (3-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 69 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-0 victory at Washington Nationals Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 2-2, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 7 games
• Only start vs Orioles: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 6-3 loss on July 5, 2023, as member of New York Yankees

Suarez (5-4, 3.48 ERA) makes his 14th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 defeat at Miami Marlins Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 2-1, 2.31 ERA (35 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 9 games
• Has not pitched against the Padres since 2016

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:54 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Orioles -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-146) | Orioles -1.5 (+122)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Padres at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Orioles 5

BET PADRES (+136).

The Padres continue to play great baseball. They’ve won 7 straight coming into Sunday’s game and I’m going to ride that momentum. The pitching staff has allowed just 11 total runs and tossed 3 shutouts over the 7-game run. Vasquez has found his groove over the last 5 starts, going 2-1 allowing just 5 total ER in 26 1/3 IP.

The Orioles are the better team, but right now they are in a bit of a funk coming out of the All-Star break. Saurez is 2-4 over his last 6 starts, allowing 12 ER over his last 3 starts. The continued pitching woes are why the Orioles acquired RHP Zach Eflin from the Tampa Bay Rays.

PASS.

Since we’re backing the Padres’ moneyline, let’s stay away from the run line.

PASS.

I was confident the Saturday game would go Under, but obviously it did not. I’m gun-shy to give an official pick, but my lean would be the Over considering the pitching matchup.

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