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    Look of the Day 7/31: Cease is red-hot, but fade him anyway

    By Jack Dougherty,

    3 hours ago

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=2pDqhJ_0ujPOkP900

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=4AYiTs_0ujPOkP900
    San Diego Padres pitcher Dylan Cease.

    Aaron Judge crushed his hits + runs + RBIs prop on Tuesday to cash our third straight Look of the Day . Let's stay hot with our favorite MLB prop for Wednesday's slate.

    Look of the Day: Dylan Cease under 17.5 outs recorded (+140 DraftKings )

    Dodgers at Padres, 8:40 p.m. ET

    It feels like a crime to fade Cease right now. The San Diego Padres starter is coming off a complete game no-hitter against the Washington Nationals in his last start. Over his last three games, Cease has given up a combined two hits and no earned runs while striking out 30 batters in 22.0 innings. Pure dominance.

    Cease is red hot right now, but that makes this the perfect time to fade him with an outs prop.

    The right-hander threw a season-high 114 pitches in his no-no against the Nats six days ago. He would've come out of the game earlier if he wasn't chasing history, so the Padres will likely be careful with his workload in his first start since then. Cease's previous season-high in pitches was 113 back in May, and he went 5.2 innings before getting pulled after 98 pitches in his next start.

    This is also a tough matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Current Dodgers hitters have a .277 xBA, a .359 xwOBA and a .476 xSLG in 75 plate appearances against Cease. Los Angeles has a patient lineup with the third-lowest chase rate and the seventh-lowest swing rate in MLB, so these hitters will make Cease work for every out and waste more pitches.

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