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San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions
By Jess Root,
7 hours ago
The San Francisco Giants (41-44) start a 6-game road trip on Tuesday with the first of 3 games against the Atlanta Braves (46-36). First pitch from Truist Park is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Bravesodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting this season, Braves won 4-2 in 2023.
The Giants were off on Monday after a 3-game home series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, beating them 2 out of 3 games. They won the finale 10-4 with the Over (8.5) cashing in. They have won 5 of their last 7 games.
The Braves won their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates but lost the finale on Sunday 4-2 as the favorites. The Under (9) cashed in. They have lost 3 of their last 5 but are 11-6 in their last 17.
Giants at Braves projected starters
RHP Hayden Birdsong vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez
Birdsong (0-0, 5.79 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 6 hits and 3 walks with 5 K’s in 4 2/3 IP in his MLB debut, a 4-3 home victory over the Chicago Cubs Wednesday.
Was promoted from Triple-A Sacramento Wednesday after spending just 2 weeks there
2024 stats with Triple-A Sacramento: 1-0, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 14.0 K/9 in 2 starts
Lopez (6-2, 1.70 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 79 1/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-2 road win over St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
Has not allowed more than 2 ER in last 9 starts
Career vs. Giants: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 2.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 1 start and 3 relief appearances, including 0-0 with 0.00 ERA (2 IP) in 3 relief appearances last year
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Giants +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-125) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Giants at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Giants 3
The Giants are only 17-27 against teams with winning records. But they have scored at least 5 runs in 5 of their last 7 games. They are 16-25 on the road.
The Braves (-190) are 26-14 at home but have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games.
Lopez is a perfect 3-0 with a 1.11 ERA at home this season.
Expect the Braves to win, but don’t bet them at -190.
PASS.
The Giants are 20-20 ATS on the road, and the Braves are 18-22 ATS at home.
Birdsong showed promise in his debut, but he will be no match for Lopez, who has dominated hitters at home.
The Braves have won the last 5 starts by Lopez, all by at least 2 runs.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+105).
Five of the last 6 starts for Lopez have stayed under 9 total runs.
The Braves have gone 8 straight games without reaching 9 total runs.
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