Indiana Fever at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

The Indiana Fever (7-12) and Phoenix Mercury (8-8) meet Sunday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Fever vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Teams split 2-2 in 2023

The Fever were humbled 89-77 in Seattle on Thursday, failing to cover as a 9-point underdog as the Under (167) just hung on. Indiana saw its 5-game cover streak snapped, but an 8-0 Over run also came to an end.

Indiana is just 1-5 straight up (SU) against the Western Conference this season, while failing to cover the previous 4 against Western clubs. Despite Thursday’s Over in Seattle, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 for the Fever against the West, while going 8-1 in the past 9 games, and 11-2 in the previous 13.

Rookie Caitlin Clark scored 15 points, including 3 treys, with 7 assists, 6 rebounds, a blocked shot and 6 turnovers in Seattle. She is the fastest player to reach 300 points, 100 assists and 100 rebounds, hitting those marks in just 19 games.

The Mercury posted a 92-78 win as a 10.5-point favorite against the Los Angeles Sparks Friday, while the Under (170.5) was able to connect.

The Merc have won 3 of the past 4 games outright, while covering at a 6-1 against the spread (ATS) clip in the past 7 outings. The Under has a slight 3-1 edge in the past 4 games, while going 8-4 in the past 12 contests.

Fever at Mercury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Fever +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Mercury -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Fever +7.5 (-112) | Mercury -7.5 (-108)
• Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Fever at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Mercury 89, Fever 78

Phoenix (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that is way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Betting such heavy favorites like that is not a recommended long-term strategy.

Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including the Mercury sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS.

Play PHOENIX -7.5 (-108) laying the points against Indiana +7.5 (-112).

It was the Fever of old in Seattle, failing to cover while losing by double-digit points. Still, this could be a close game, as Indiana is still 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games despite the non-cover last time out.

The Mercury have managed to cover 6 of the past 7, and the offense has on fire lately, going for 87 or more points in 5 of the past 6 outings.

UNDER 173.5 (-110) is worth a look in this afternoon battle.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for the Mercury, while going 8-4 across the past 12 contests. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games against Eastern Conference foes, too.

For the Fever, it’s been all about the Over lately, going 8-1 in the past 9 outings. However, that lone Under result came last time out on Thursday in Seattle.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips

SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access NBA coverage:

HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Spurs Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire