New York Mets at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The New York Mets (61-54) take on the Seattle Mariners (60-56) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 2-1 last year

The Mets come to town fresh after taking 2 of 3 in Colorado. They took down the Rockies 9-1 Thursday as 1B Pete Alonso slugged 2 homers to give him his 4th straight 25-homer season. The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 and are a half-game up on the Atlanta Braves for the final Wild Card.

The Mariners snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 4-3 W over the Detroit Tigers Thursday. 1B Luke Raley had 2 hits, including his 14th homer of the season. The Mariners are 5-5 over their last 10 and are tied atop the AL West division with the Houston Astros.

Mets at Mariners projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Quintana (6-7, 3.95 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 118 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 3-2 setback Sunday at Los Angeles Angels
• Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 2-1, 2.56 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 34 K in 31 2/3 IP (spans from 2014-2017)

Miller (8-7, 3.62 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 126 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home win in 10 innings vs. Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
• Never faced Mets before
• Home/road splits: 4-3, 2.27 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 12 home GS; 4-4, 5.37 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 10 road GS

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Mets at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mets at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Mets 3

The Mets are better on the road at 31-25, but the M’s are much better at home at 34-26. The Mets have had one heck of a travel week as well. They went from Los Angeles to St. Louis for a makeup game Monday and then flew to Colorado before arriving here in Seattle.

Miller is much better at home as well, and I give the edge to Seattle, which has been at home for an entire week.

Take the MARINERS -130.

I don’t like either side of the RL here. There is one prop that sticks out. Miller has allowed 5+ hits in 7 of 8 starts. Take BRYCE MILLER OVER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED (-145).

It’s slated to be an 84-degree evening with a light 3-mph gust moving left to right. The Mets are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10, and the M’s are 6-4. The Mariners have hit the Under in 3 of 4.

I like the UNDER 8 (-115) Friday.

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