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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees Game 1 odds, picks and predictions
By Kevin Erickson,
5 hours ago
The Texas Rangers (54-61) and New York Yankees (68-48) will play Game 1 of a doubleheader Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is at 1:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+/MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Yankeesodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 4-3 in 2023
Friday’s series opener was washed out due to the remnants of Tropical Storm Debby passing through the NYC Metropolitan area.
The Rangers have struggled all season after winning the World Series in 2023. Since its 4-game sweep of the lowly Chicago White Sox in late July, the Rangers are just 3-9 in the past 12 games, while the Over is 10-2 in the impressive span.
The Yankees were stunned earlier in the week by the Los Angeles Angels, dropping 2 of 3 games against a team which is 14 games under .500. As a result, the Bronx Bombers enter the doubleheader a half-game out of 1st place in the AL East behind the Baltimore Orioles.
New York enters play with the best run differential in the majors at plus-113. Despite the tremendous overall record, the Yankees are just 30-26 in front of the home fans while going an impressive 38-22 on the road. They’re just 4-7 in the past 11 games at home.
Rangers at Yankees projected starters
RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Eovaldi (8-5, 3.62 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 117 IP.
Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 7-2 home setback vs. Boston Red Sox Sunday
2024 road splits: 2-3, 4.57 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.40 WHIP, .275 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 36 K in 7 starts
Career vs. Yankees: 4-4, 3.45 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 20 appearances (17 starts)
Rodon (12-7, 4.37 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 125 2/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 8 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Aug. 3
2024 home splits: 6-2, 3.76 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.01 WHIP, .202 OBA, 14 BB, 61 K in 9 starts
Career vs. Rangers: 1-1, 4.70 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Rangers +132 (bet $100 to win $132) | Yankees -156 (bet $156 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+132)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -122 | U: +100)
Rangers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Rangers 4
The YANKEES (-156) are actually not priced out of line against the Rangers (+132) in the front end of this double dip.
Eovaldi gets a crack against his former team, and it could be a higher-scoring nail-biter. He has been shaky on the road, posting a losing record with an ERA north of 4, while Rodon has been so-so, and he has struggled at times against Texas in his career.
If you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you’d like some insurance, playing RANGERS +1.5 (-160) isn’t terribly expensive.
The Yankees -1.5 (+132) are just 4-7 in the past 11 games at home, so buying a little insurance on the road team isn’t a terrible idea.
OVER 8 (-122) is the lean in Game 1 of this twin bill.
The Over has been on fire for the Bronx Bombers lately, going 14-3 in the past 17 games. For the Rangers, the total has ended up going high in 10 of the previous 12 outings.
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