San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

The San Diego Padres (66-52) and Miami Marlins (43-75) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series to close out the season series. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: San Diego leads 4-1

San Diego escaped with a 9-8 win in 10 innings on Saturday while covering as a -185 road favorite. DH Luis Arraez had 3 RBIs, including the go-ahead RBI on a groundout. The Padres rallied late after being down 7-3.

The Padres have won 7 straight games while the Marlins have dropped 3 in a row. Miami has allowed 8 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 losses.

Padres at Marlins projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Max Meyer

Cease (11-8, 3.40 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 137 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 2-0 win at Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
• Career vs. Miami: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start

Meyer (2-2, 5.10 ERA) makes his 7th start this season and 9th in his MLB career. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 30 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in an 8-2 loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
• First time facing Padres

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Marlins +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-120) | Marlins +1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Padres at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Marlins 3

PASS.

San Diego should pick up the win as a -200 favorite, but the line is set far too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

LEAN PADRES -1.5 (-120).

San Diego is 9-1 in its last 10 games while Miami is only 3-7 over that span. The Padres are also 7-3 in their last 10 overall vs. Miami and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in Miami. San Diego has only allowed Miami to finish within 1 run in 2 of its last 7 wins vs. the Marlins.

Be aware San Diego has won by only 1 run in 5 of its last 9 wins.

BET OVER 8 (-105).

The Over has hit in 3 of San Diego’s last 4 on the road and is 6-4 in its last 10 overall. For Miami, the Over is 5-1 in its last 6 home games. The Over is also 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Miami, but be aware the Under is 7-3 in the last 10 San Diego-Miami matchups overall.

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