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Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
By Nathan Beighle,
14 hours ago
The Milwaukee Brewers (67-50) welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers (68-49) to American Family Field Monday for a 4-game series. First pitch in the opener is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Brewersodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1
The Dodgers swept the Pittsburgh Pirates in their 3-game series, winning the finale 6-5 Sunday. They are 6-2 over their last 8 games, losing 2 of 3 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the prior series. Los Angeles is 31-27 on the road this season and 57-61 against the spread (ATS). It sits atop the NL West.
The Brewers, who lead the NL Central, had their 5-game win streak snapped in a 4-3 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. Milwaukee swept the Atlanta Braves on the road in the series prior, then won the first 2 of 3 against Cincinnati. It is 33-22 on the road and 63-54 ATS.
Dodgers at Brewers projected starters
LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Kershaw (0-2, 4.38 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.
Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 6-2 home loss to the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
2024 away splits: 0-1, 7.36 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.91 WHIP, 1 HR, 0.0 K/9 in 1 start
Career vs. Brewers: 8-5, 2.92 ERA (111 IP, 36 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 18 starts
Peralta (7-6, 4.02 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 125 1/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-5 road win over the Atlanta Braves Wednesday
2024 home splits: 3-3, 4.40 ERA (61 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11 HR, 11.3 K/9 in 11 starts
Career vs. Dodgers: 2-1, 2.63 ERA (24 IP, 7 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Brewers -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+146) | Brewers +1.5 (-176)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Dodgers at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Brewers 4
BET DODGERS (-112).
The Dodgers are 27-18 straight up as a road favorite this season while Milwaukee is 7-8 as a home underdog. Despite Kershaw’s struggles since returning, he has dominated the Brewers throughout his career and should continue to improve after returning from injury.
Los Angeles has won 6 of its last 8 games, 2 of those wins coming by 1 run. While the Brewers have played well as of late, they are just 6-5 over their last 11 and 2-3 in their last 5 at home.
Considering those trends, take DODGERS (-112).
PASS.
The Dodgers are too risky here as a run-line favorite, especially considering 2 of their last 7 games have ended within 1 run. The Brewers are a pass here too as they are too expensive to take.
BET OVER 8 (-110).
The Dodgers have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games, scoring at least 4 runs in all 4. They have allowed at least 5 runs in 3 of their last 4 games as well.
The Brewers, who are 64-47-6 O/U on the season, have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 8 runs in 4 of those. They have given up at least 3 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Milwaukee has gone Over in Peralta’s last 4 starts.
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