St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals (60-59) and Cincinnati Reds (58-61) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

The Cards got worked 6-1 Monday, falling to 8-12 over their last 20 games. They took a 1-0 lead early and had 2 instances with the bases loaded and could not cash in. That is the recurring theme with this team. 101 ESPN radio in St. Louis referenced Tuesday morning that the Cardinals are 11-for-79 (.139) with runners in scoring position and 2-for-17 (.118) with the bases loaded in the month of August.

The Reds received 2 homers from 2B Spencer Steer (2-for-3, 5 RBIs), while SS Elly De La Cruz connected for his 21st homer of the year. The win brought the Reds within 4½ games of a Wild Card spot. They’re 6-4 over their last 10 games and 11-9 over the last 20.

Cardinals at Reds projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Fedde (8-5, 3.28 ERA) makes his 24th start of the season, pitching for the Cardinals and the Chicago White Sox — he was acquired by St. Louis July 29. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 131 2/3 innings between the 2 clubs.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
• Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 6.05 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.86 WHIP, 10 BB, 9 K in 4 starts; last faced them in 2022
• Career at Great American Ball Park: 0-0, 7.43 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 2.10 WHIP, 8 BB, 5 K in 3 starts

Greene (8-4, 2.90 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 136 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-4 victory in 10 innings at Miami Marlins Thursday
• Tied with Washington Nationals LHP Mackenzie Gore for most walks in NL (52)
• Leads majors with 19 hit batters
• Last 5 starts vs. Cardinals: 1-2, 2.67 ERA (27 IP, 8 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 41 K in 27 IP; 1-4, 3.57 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Cards

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:27 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Reds -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Cardinals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cardinals 3

Greene has allowed 5 earned runs in his last 7 starts for a crisp 1.03 ERA. I look for him to dominate the Cards’ dormant bats. BET REDS (-135) in this one because of the young right-hander.

The winning team has cashed multi-run wins in 7 of the last 8 meetings between the clubs. Of the Reds’ 6 wins in their last 10 games, 5 of them were by multiple runs.

Divvy up 1½ UNITS between the Reds (-135) moneyline and the REDS -1.5 (+165) run line.

We have pretty similar weather conditions Tuesday that we did Monday, when the Under (8.5) cashed with the 6-1 final. The forecast calls for 84 degrees with a light 3-mph breeze blowing out to right-center. All 4 games in GABP between these clubs this season have gone Under.

I like UNDER 8.5 (+100) Tuesday night.

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