Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (64-56) and San Francisco Giants (61-62) close out a 4-game series in San Francisco Thursday. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 4-2

The Braves can complete a 4-game series sweep with a win Thursday. They have won 3 straight games and are 4-2 on their road trip. They are coming off a 13-2 win Wednesday.

The Giants have now lost 4 straight games after winning 4 in a row. In the series, they have scored a combined 5 runs in 3 games.

Braves at Giants projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Logan Webb

Fried (7-6, 3.56 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 116 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 7 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 11-8 road win over Colorado Rockies Saturday
• Is 0-3 with 6.64 ERA in 4 starts since July 5
• Career vs. Giants: 4-0, 2.40 ERA (45 IP, 12 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts), including 1-0 with 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last year

Webb (10-8, 3.32 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through an NL-leading 157 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home win over Detroit Tigers Saturday
• Is 3-0 with 0.83 ERA over last 3 starts (21 1/3 IP)
• 2024 vs. Braves: 1-0, 1 road start (July 4), 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win
• Career vs. Braves: 3-1, 2.98 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 7 starts

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Braves at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+170) | Giants +1.5 (-210)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Braves at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Braves 3

The GIANTS (-115) have been swept at home only once all season, in a 3-game series to the New York Yankees May 31- June 2. Webb has been stellar over his last 3 outings and Fried has been very hittable over the last month.

Webb has allowed only 2 total runs in his last 3 starts.

The Giants are 35-27 at home this season. They should take the finale.

BET GIANTS (-115).

Betting the Giants to cover the +1.5 at -210 is a bad bet in terms of value.

But since 10 of the Giants’ last 13 wins have been by at least 2 runs, you should ladder your moneyline bet with a little bit on the alternate spread at -1.5.

BET GIANTS ALTERNATE SPREAD -1.5 (+185).

Webb’s last 3 outings and 4 of his last 5 have not surpassed 7 total runs.

But opponents have scored 7 or more by themselves in 3 of Fried’s last 4 starts.

Six of the Giants’ last 9 games have had at least 7 total runs.

BET OVER 7 (-120).

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