Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (72-51) and Milwaukee Brewers (71-52) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0

The Brewers inched past the Guardians 2-1 in Saturday’s win, a game which featured a total of 4 hits for each team in a pitcher’s duel. Milwaukee has won 4 in a row, and the Brewers are now 3-1 in the past 4 outings when favored. The Under (7) on Saturday halted a 3-0 run to the Over.

The roller coaster ride for the Guardians continues. They won 5 in a row from July 28-Aug. 2, while dropping 7 straight from Aug. 3-9. Cleveland rebounded with 5 straight victories from Aug. 10-14, and now it has lost 2 in a row. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 outings, and the total has gone low at a 4-2-1 clip in the past 7 road contests.

Guardians at Brewers projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Colin Rea

Lively (10-7, 3.71 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 4 BB, 1 K in 9-8 home victory vs. Chicago Cubs Monday
• 2024 road splits: 4-5, 3.99 ERA (58 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.23 WHIP, .236 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 20 BB, 51 K in 11 starts
• Career vs. Brewers: 0-3, 3.47 ERA (23.1 IP, 9 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Rea (10-4, 3.72 ERA) makes his 21st start (24th appearance). He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 128 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 7 ER, 10 H (4 HR), 0 BB, 4 K in 7-2 home setback vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 6-3, 4.26 ERA (69 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.08 WHIP, .225 OBA, 15 HR, 15 BB, 60 K in 9 starts (11 appearances)
• Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (2 IP, 0 ER), 0.50 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 1 relief appearance

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Guardians at Brewers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:16 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Guardians +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Brewers -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+172) | Brewers +1.5 (-210)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

Guardians at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Guardians 3

The BREWERS (-122) look to cap off the 3-game sweep on Sunday behind Rea. Of his 10 victories, 6 have come at American Family Field.

Milwaukee has won 3 of the past 4 games when favored, and the Brewers are 5-2 in the past 7 starts by Rea, and also 5-2 in the past 7 outings at home for the right-handed starter.

The Brewers +1.5 (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, backing Milwaukee isn’t a good idea, as it sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

If you like the Brewers, just play them straight up.

PASS.

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UNDER 8.5 (-120) is a strong play in this interleague series finale.

The Over barely cashed in Friday’s game, taking 3 meaningless runs in the top of the 8th inning by Cleveland in Milwaukee’s 5-3 win. We had just 3 total runs and 8 combined hits in Saturday’s contest. Look for the total to go low again Sunday.

You may love betting on sports, but until college football and the NFL seasons officially start, the pickings can get slim. You can fill some of that time and scratch that itch at online casinos and enjoy slots, blackjack, video poker and more.

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