Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (73-53) and New York Mets (65-60) meet Tuesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

New York won Monday’s series opener 4-3 while covering as a -134 home favorite. C Francisco Alvarez hit the game-winning solo HR in the bottom of the 9th after Baltimore rallied from a 3-0 deficit.

The loss was the 2nd straight for the Orioles on the road and it ended Baltimore’s 3-game winning streak vs. the Mets.

Orioles at Mets projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Kremer (5-9, 4.48 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-1 win over Washington Nationals Wednesday
• Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 1.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start

Quintana (6-8, 4.26 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 129 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 1 K in a 7-6 loss vs. Oakland A’s Thursday
• Career vs. Baltimore: 2-5, 3.66 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 10 appearances (8 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:28 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Orioles at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Orioles 2

LEAN METS (-125).

New York has won the last 4 matchups vs. the Orioles in New York and enters as the slightly hotter team, being 3-1 in its last 4 at home while Baltimore has dropped back-to-back on the road.

This is an extremely slight lean as the Mets have dropped 3 of their last 4 vs. the Orioles and as Baltimore is better on the road (36-25) than New York is at home (34-32).

PASS.

I like the Orioles to cover here as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but this line is set too heavily in their favor to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in both New York and Baltimore’s last 3 game. For Baltimore, the Under is also 7-3 in its last 10 games and 3-1 in its last 4 on the road.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 2 Baltimore-NY matchups while it is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in New York.

This is a lean because the Over is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups between these 2 squads and because the Over is 5-5 in New York’s last 10 overall.

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