Fantasy football: Where to draft Buffalo Bills TE Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills TE Dalton Kincaid came into last season as a key role player in what was supposed to be a Super Bowl winning offense. Kincaid was selected in the 1st round of the 2023 draft — 25th overall out of Utah — reflecting the importance Buffalo’s front office placed on him. With the offense down a few receivers, Kincaid’s role is expected to change significantly.

Below, we look at Dalton Kincaid’s 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

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Dalton Kincaid’s ADP: 57.47

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Kincaid’s 57.47 ADP in redraft leagues puts him in the range of the 4th to 6th round, depending on the size of the league. His ADP is higher than the Bills’ top 2 wide receivers — Keon Coleman (66.90) and Khalil Shakir (117.35) on the depth chart, making Kincaid the expected number 1 pass catcher on the team.

Among tight ends, Kincaid’s ADP ranks him 5th at the position. Kansas City’s Travis Kelce (29.86) is No. 1, followed by Detroit’s Sam LaPorta (32.29), Arizona’s Trey McBride (47.58) and Baltimore’s Mark Andrews (48.80). Jacksonville’s Evan Engram (60.46) and San Francisco’s George Kittle (62.71) are 6th and 7th, respectively, at the TE position.

Dalton Kincaid’s 2023-24 stats

Games: 16

Receptions | targets: 73 | 91

Receiving yards: 673

Receiving touchdowns: 2

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Where should you draft Kincaid?

Kincaid’s fantasy value is expected to grow this season, simply because a ton of targets are now available and the new receiver corps lack top tier talent.

In his rookie season, Kincaid beat out Dawson Knox as the Bills’ top TE, playing nearly 3 times as many plays. Kincaid is a familiar face in a changing offense. However he was not targeted in the end zone that much during the 2023 season. His 4 targets ranked behind Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson (12), Browns TE David Njoku (10) and even Bears TE Gerald Everett (7).

But volume will be Kincaid’s biggest asset. When Knox suffered an injury last season, Kincaid’s receptions jumped from just over 3 receptions a game to over 6 (including his 2 TDs).

Draft Kincaid if he is available in the 5th round or later. While the tight end position this season is deeper than recent memory, it is really based on potential upside instead of actual results. Kincaid is victim of that thinking, too, but once the elite tight ends are taken in your draft, Kincaid is one of the safer risks to make.

If he is taken earlier, then look to Buffalo’s receivers in the later rounds because landing the Bills’ WR1 for one of your bench slots would be a league changer.

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